Cronus66

@Cronus66

#3,068,55528

0x9c09fd8faed8b42564969d7b657261a5565a1ba5

~274d· 878 markets · 9185 tradesVol: $1,676,1002026-08-05 03:14:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (494/869)13.4/20
0.55x (win $47,500 / loss $85,686)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9970/15
Sortino -3.1760/10
$-0.1574 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 104 (869 markets)10/10
108/220 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 5918% of peak ($41,180 / $696)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.1 entries/market
Whale
$242,587 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#816,814$-11,207Vol: $837,702
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,363$-6,243Vol: $500,534
📈 ECONOMICS#681,521$-2,738Vol: $161,305
SPORTS#27,348$1,592Vol: $81,405
📢 MENTIONS#175,539$-1,253Vol: $40,688
💰 FINANCE#614,769$-42Vol: $32,083
CRYPTO#1,663,484$-3,650Vol: $18,134
💻 TECH#240,970$-34Vol: $971
🌤️ WEATHER#272,267$-39Vol: $140

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23,561
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,676,100
Total Redeem
$919
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
878
total markets
Trades
6056B / 3129S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~274d

Periods

#2
Today
$-77
Vol: $0
Week
$-298
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,493
Vol: $0
All Time
$-23,561
Vol: $1,676,100

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
494W / 375L events
Realized PnL
$-23,561
Win Rate
57%
494W / 375L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$96
Avg Loss
$-237

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,843 (0.24799141987197718% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2,685
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$1,758
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$1,400
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?$1,396
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?$1,278
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$1,065
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$993
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?$961
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$952
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$844

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-8,428
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$-5,801
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$-4,967
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-4,159
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-3,178
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-3,154
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-2,325
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-2,020
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?$-1,974
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$-1,469

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.129
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.5m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.8%
Mid (20-55c)41.1%
High (>55c)28.1%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 8:40:25 PM20 trades$8,4549 min
4/16/2026, 6:51:08 PM46 trades$6,76611 min
7/25/2025, 5:35:55 PM16 trades$6,60815 min
8/1/2025, 4:17:48 PM56 trades$6,19830 min
4/17/2026, 2:10:32 AM14 trades$5,4983 min
6/7/2026, 12:06:09 AM46 trades$5,24910 min
4/13/2026, 12:08:45 AM72 trades$5,03029 min
5/17/2026, 2:05:45 AM87 trades$4,84922 min
6/7/2026, 5:10:46 AM10 trades$4,5751 min
7/29/2025, 11:26:47 PM78 trades$4,21726 min
5/31/2026, 12:03:26 AM24 trades$4,0682 min
4/2/2026, 2:59:47 AM17 trades$4,0348 min
7/19/2026, 4:06:19 AM2 trades$4,0000 min
6/22/2026, 11:52:55 PM29 trades$3,9614 min
7/30/2025, 1:48:49 AM175 trades$3,80673 min
7/30/2025, 12:25:59 AM83 trades$3,76946 min
4/13/2026, 3:56:39 AM27 trades$3,51614 min
6/7/2026, 7:18:10 PM13 trades$3,4001 min
6/2/2026, 12:21:10 AM18 trades$3,3741 min
4/12/2026, 10:16:59 PM10 trades$3,3733 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
04-29
06-14
08-08
10-19
03-30
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 485 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.8 / M41.1 / H28.1