Molni

@Molni

#3,017,71342

0x9c49f60ab20d7904754b8053f224b43659721d27

~216d· 960 markets · 1825 tradesVol: $117,300 @YtMolni2026-08-05 01:19:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (564/943)14.9/20
1.05x (win $9,197 / loss $8,770)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2224.2/15
Sortino 0.3413.4/10
$+0.0122 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 136 (943 markets)10/10
104/203 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 183% of peak ($1,472 / $803)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,853,016$-1,932Vol: $40,029
🏛️ POLITICS#1,574,734$-261Vol: $33,478
CRYPTO#1,460,680$-95Vol: $10,340
🎭 CULTURE#769,665$-65Vol: $9,030
💰 FINANCE#639,119$-153Vol: $7,864
🌤️ WEATHER#232,742$-6Vol: $4,384
📈 ECONOMICS#620,554$-17Vol: $1,233
📢 MENTIONS#59,756$0Vol: $353
💻 TECH#194,264$-1Vol: $47

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,692
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$117,300
Total Redeem
$3,738
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
960
total markets
Trades
1182B / 643S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~216d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,692
Vol: $117,300

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
564W / 379L events
Realized PnL
$-2,692
Win Rate
60%
564W / 379L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,453 (0.9113253101552635% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,024
Golden Knights vs. Utah$738
Oilers vs. Sharks$691
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$654
Knicks vs. Spurs$576
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox$512
Canadiens vs. Sabres$469
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners$453
Ducks vs. Predators$393
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$356

Top Losers

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-676
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$-626
Timberwolves vs. 76ers$-600
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres$-567
Avalanche vs. Wild$-529
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-512
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$-454
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds$-355
Spurs vs. Knicks$-320
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$-286

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.012
Sortino
0.014
HHI
107
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
15.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 2.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal3.5 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.92
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)69.1%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 8:59:19 AM15 trades$1,32911 min
3/5/2026, 8:19:31 AM16 trades$1,0567 min
4/2/2026, 9:37:47 AM31 trades$94027 min
3/20/2026, 12:00:55 PM2 trades$9102 min
3/4/2026, 1:09:19 PM2 trades$8000 min
3/26/2026, 11:36:07 AM3 trades$8002 min
4/27/2026, 11:31:42 AM2 trades$8000 min
3/19/2026, 6:42:43 PM4 trades$7704 min
4/3/2026, 7:48:53 PM2 trades$7500 min
4/8/2026, 5:24:29 PM3 trades$7350 min
3/8/2026, 10:21:07 PM3 trades$7023 min
5/14/2026, 10:47:36 AM3 trades$6982 min
4/25/2026, 6:24:04 PM3 trades$6630 min
2/17/2026, 8:17:13 AM10 trades$6266 min
2/16/2026, 8:56:49 AM12 trades$6203 min
5/14/2026, 9:01:56 AM3 trades$6102 min
5/11/2026, 12:00:56 PM2 trades$6010 min
3/9/2026, 8:38:49 AM1 trades$5990 min
3/16/2026, 10:32:19 PM2 trades$5980 min
4/6/2026, 10:14:33 AM2 trades$5950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-12
01-17
03-02
04-05
05-14
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M17.3 / H69.1