@powell13

#2,304,8616

0x9c79179254341c196419a8cb3dd8b9af5e19d831

~16d· 37 markets · 73 tradesVol: $4,2072026-08-04 21:51:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (12/37)1.2/20
0.43x (win $49 / loss $115)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.1110/15
Sortino -7.9840/10
$-0.4499 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1618 (37 markets)4.4/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 364% of peak ($90 / $25)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,560,564$-40Vol: $3,920
📢 MENTIONS#104,954$-3Vol: $287

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,207
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
51B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
12W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-43
Win Rate
32%
12W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.5768509840674789% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?$12
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?$7
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?$6
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?$5
Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?$3
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?$3
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$3
Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference?$3
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?$2
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?$2

Top Losers

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?$-15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$-9
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$-5
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$-5
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$-4
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.408
Sortino
-0.469
HHI
933
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.369
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.2%
Top-5 markets
56.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.2%
Mid (20-55c)39.2%
High (>55c)21.6%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 5:08:02 PM6 trades$680 min
6/15/2026, 11:28:27 PM4 trades$681 min
6/23/2026, 2:02:44 PM3 trades$570 min
7/5/2026, 3:06:50 PM4 trades$500 min
6/23/2026, 11:00:25 PM4 trades$433 min
1/28/2026, 2:40:53 PM5 trades$253 min
12/10/2025, 7:01:30 PM6 trades$243 min
6/16/2026, 2:37:32 PM6 trades$222 min
9/17/2025, 6:10:48 PM4 trades$117 min
7/9/2025, 5:01:18 PM4 trades$82 min
1/21/2026, 1:39:26 PM2 trades$70 min
7/30/2025, 7:03:05 PM2 trades$61 min
7/6/2026, 2:09:37 PM2 trades$60 min
6/30/2026, 3:39:02 PM4 trades$50 min
12/20/2025, 2:06:30 AM1 trades$50 min
1/28/2026, 3:14:19 PM1 trades$40 min
6/18/2025, 1:41:46 PM3 trades$43 min
1/28/2026, 3:03:57 PM1 trades$30 min
7/30/2025, 3:11:08 PM1 trades$20 min
9/17/2025, 6:22:38 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
07-09
09-17
12-20
01-28
06-23
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 208 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.59/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.2 / M39.2 / H21.6