@oilpainter

#2,579,11439

0x9cc2dd98a126258ceb7d37191c1d49515f3a6475

~22d· 42 markets · 152 tradesVol: $11,2772026-08-04 23:53:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (35/38)20/20
0.43x (win $114 / loss $262)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9490/15
Sortino -3.0160/10
$-0.0187 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 625 (38 markets)9.4/10
17/20 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 376% of peak ($223 / $59)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Consistent
17/20 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#633,783$-104Vol: $4,621
🎭 CULTURE#727,403$-21Vol: $2,590
₿ CRYPTO#297,247$5Vol: $2,460
💻 TECH#16,761$12Vol: $1,335
🏛️ POLITICS#378,388$0Vol: $271

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-108
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,277
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
64B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $0
Month
$-50
Vol: $599
All Time
$-108
Vol: $11,277

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
35W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-108
Win Rate
92%
35W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-131

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67 (0.6222592284207604% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 11 2026?$51
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $146 in May?$11
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$5
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$4
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of May 11 2026?$4
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in July?$3
Will Chainlink reach $12 in July?$3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$3
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?$-219
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-43

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.062
HHI
508
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
42.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 3:55:16 PM3 trades$1,3810 min
7/24/2026, 11:42:15 PM11 trades$9158 min
5/11/2026, 10:11:06 AM17 trades$7215 min
5/16/2026, 9:20:36 AM7 trades$7210 min
5/25/2026, 10:29:46 AM3 trades$7190 min
5/6/2026, 7:07:40 AM2 trades$6900 min
6/13/2026, 5:28:40 AM6 trades$6053 min
5/27/2026, 8:13:33 AM24 trades$5708 min
6/3/2026, 8:28:50 AM2 trades$3560 min
8/1/2026, 6:12:57 AM8 trades$3401 min
5/30/2026, 3:19:18 AM8 trades$2851 min
6/9/2026, 10:27:57 AM5 trades$2730 min
7/12/2026, 8:04:01 AM4 trades$2030 min
6/17/2026, 6:37:08 AM2 trades$1930 min
6/4/2026, 6:51:09 AM2 trades$1670 min
6/7/2026, 8:52:48 AM14 trades$1502 min
6/27/2026, 10:13:37 PM4 trades$1431 min
8/1/2026, 7:58:21 AM1 trades$1370 min
6/16/2026, 6:46:13 AM3 trades$1100 min
6/29/2026, 1:45:37 AM4 trades$1010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-16
05-30
06-04
06-13
06-18
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100