@hotel

#2,604,51530

0x9d3537c8ccd69c996992efa8b00603c10e15bb16

~29d· 104 markets · 114 tradesVol: $103,9202026-08-04 22:22:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (84/103)20/20
0.40x (win $84 / loss $209)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.6610/15
Sortino -6.3870/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9482 (103 markets)0/10
19/26 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 15398% of peak ($129 / $1)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Diamond Hands
7% sells
Whale
$52,963 invested
Consistent
19/26 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,435,515$-36Vol: $101,903
SPORTS#1,649,312$-80Vol: $491
CRYPTO#283,607$6Vol: $449
📈 ECONOMICS#96,488$1Vol: $413
💰 FINANCE#125,024$1Vol: $404
🎭 CULTURE#532,992$-1Vol: $194
📢 MENTIONS#105,471$-3Vol: $17
🌤️ WEATHER#85,144$0Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,920
Total Redeem
$86
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
106B / 8S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-119
Vol: $103,920

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
84W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-119
Win Rate
82%
84W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30 (0.25473365311789953% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mazatlán FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5$13
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11
Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-09?$6
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK end in a draw?$5
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-30?$5
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-11-07?$4
Will Finland win on 2025-11-17?$3
Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?$3
Will CD Guadalajara vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?$3
Will FK Haugesund vs. Molde FK end in a draw?$3

Top Losers

Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$-50
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2025-11-30?$-11
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-17?$-11
Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-30?$-11
Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?$-11
Will Comoros win on 2025-11-17?$-11
Will Comoros vs. Namibia end in a draw?$-11
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-0.5)$-10
CD Guadalajara vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5$-10
Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-11-07?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.342
Sortino
-0.252
HHI
9024
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
79.5%
Half-Kelly
39.7%
Top-1 market
95%
Top-5 markets
96.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.4m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 9.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal3% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.11
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)8.5%
High (>55c)91.5%

Sessions

#12
10/22/2024, 10:12:22 PM11 trades$50,3923 min
10/23/2024, 4:54:13 PM1 trades$50,2590 min
11/7/2025, 3:05:49 PM14 trades$2607 min
9/3/2025, 1:27:48 PM1 trades$1450 min
9/18/2025, 4:37:54 PM1 trades$1450 min
8/14/2025, 12:00:24 PM1 trades$1450 min
5/3/2025, 5:27:07 PM1 trades$1210 min
4/4/2025, 7:06:43 PM1 trades$1210 min
3/8/2025, 11:36:47 PM1 trades$1210 min
2/14/2025, 5:54:34 AM1 trades$1200 min
4/21/2026, 12:30:28 PM3 trades$1200 min
10/14/2025, 3:22:23 AM1 trades$1150 min
6/7/2025, 7:16:22 AM1 trades$1150 min
11/8/2024, 6:35:39 AM5 trades$1141 min
1/12/2025, 5:53:01 PM1 trades$1030 min
7/8/2025, 3:07:37 PM1 trades$1030 min
11/16/2025, 6:15:31 PM9 trades$993 min
11/2/2024, 3:08:18 AM5 trades$913 min
6/26/2026, 11:43:17 PM4 trades$880 min
5/21/2026, 5:17:06 PM2 trades$870 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
11-15
01-12
05-03
11-07
01-10
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 402 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M8.5 / H91.5