Fishsmoker

@Fishsmoker

#2,732,24174

0x9d474a51ad18eedf212a4559c4e2ace3da3845d3

~124d· 241 markets · 559 tradesVol: $42,2312026-08-04 18:57:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (101/231)6.9/20
2.01x (win $1,247 / loss $620)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.73515/15
Sortino 9.05910/10
$+0.5289 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 715 (231 markets)8.9/10
37/87 profitable days (43%)3.1/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($298 / $641)4.7/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#783,476$-108Vol: $20,195
SPORTS#1,628,873$-66Vol: $15,969
📈 ECONOMICS#609,014$-13Vol: $4,142
CRYPTO#1,143,082$-10Vol: $769
🌤️ WEATHER#264,611$-24Vol: $702
🏛️ POLITICS#1,136,557$-5Vol: $455

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-225
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,231
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
241
total markets
Trades
327B / 232S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $877
Month
$-1
Vol: $877
All Time
$-225
Vol: $42,231

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
101W / 130L events
Realized PnL
$-225
Win Rate
44%
101W / 130L
Profit Factor
2.01x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $963 (4.270481259702817% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$684
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$252
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$26
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5$20
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5$11
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$11
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$8
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$8
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5$7
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$7

Top Losers

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-120
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-29
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5$-27
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-20
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$-17
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5$-15
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?$-14
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$-13
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$-12
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.395
HHI
611
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.465
Kelly %
24.3%
Half-Kelly
12.2%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
44%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 199s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.1%
Mid (20-55c)43.1%
High (>55c)27.8%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 5:02:39 PM9 trades$2940 min
6/14/2026, 7:00:37 AM2 trades$1710 min
5/2/2026, 4:55:50 AM2 trades$1670 min
5/6/2026, 4:13:31 PM8 trades$1641 min
4/4/2026, 8:32:45 PM18 trades$1172 min
5/10/2026, 5:06:39 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 12:16:51 AM2 trades$970 min
6/26/2026, 7:56:32 AM13 trades$734 min
6/12/2026, 5:14:39 PM6 trades$623 min
6/27/2026, 3:57:26 PM13 trades$601 min
6/30/2026, 4:55:07 AM4 trades$570 min
7/6/2026, 8:57:53 PM4 trades$520 min
7/16/2026, 9:39:20 AM2 trades$450 min
11/19/2025, 4:00:17 PM2 trades$371 min
6/27/2026, 3:10:38 PM3 trades$320 min
12/7/2025, 1:07:25 PM3 trades$326 min
6/19/2026, 7:27:13 AM16 trades$316 min
12/7/2025, 12:57:27 PM2 trades$281 min
11/9/2025, 11:20:19 AM2 trades$281 min
6/12/2026, 5:42:16 PM10 trades$283 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
10-30
01-22
02-05
02-23
06-12
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 378 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.25/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.1 / M43.1 / H27.8