@Iron001002

#2,601,69240

0x9d6acc2e4790ab1400a74502fc46ffb06f9ae6f9

~10d· 218 markets · 1234 tradesVol: $10,1872026-08-04 19:44:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (185/218)20/20
0.80x (win $283 / loss $353)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.5940/15
Sortino -6.4930/10
$-0.0152 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 86 (218 markets)10/10
7/10 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 563% of peak ($89 / $16)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 85%
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Consistent
7/10 profitable days
Win Streak
20 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#286,774$-117Vol: $10,187

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-117
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,187
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
560B / 674S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
185W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-117
Win Rate
85%
185W / 33L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (0.2787290229150694% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?$13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 21?$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 20?$7
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?$6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?$6
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?$6
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 21?$6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?$6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?$5

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?$-44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$-41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$-31
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.327
Sortino
-0.522
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
123.4
Very active
Markets / Day
21.8
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.2m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 0.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule123 trades/day — automation22 markets/day — mass coverage45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.66
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)99.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 2:12:11 PM18 trades$2903 min
6/21/2026, 12:25:52 AM56 trades$27015 min
6/19/2026, 5:47:05 AM35 trades$2399 min
6/20/2026, 3:35:16 PM54 trades$23124 min
6/17/2026, 2:45:34 PM25 trades$21316 min
6/20/2026, 8:08:16 AM36 trades$19320 min
6/19/2026, 6:19:28 AM12 trades$1914 min
6/21/2026, 5:47:01 AM26 trades$18622 min
6/21/2026, 12:04:25 PM20 trades$1578 min
6/21/2026, 8:08:07 AM18 trades$1465 min
6/17/2026, 3:57:26 PM8 trades$1468 min
6/21/2026, 1:03:55 PM15 trades$1195 min
6/21/2026, 10:33:16 AM19 trades$1186 min
6/21/2026, 9:12:26 AM17 trades$1173 min
6/20/2026, 5:16:52 AM19 trades$11510 min
6/19/2026, 3:42:41 PM31 trades$1134 min
6/21/2026, 8:19:37 AM14 trades$1135 min
6/18/2026, 3:56:07 PM12 trades$1122 min
6/19/2026, 2:14:49 PM29 trades$1107 min
6/20/2026, 1:09:49 PM20 trades$955 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M0.5 / H99.3