@Isasgec

#2,841,62844

0x9de768f8daeb0ec2bdfd88311ec8592af68f73a5

~47d· 105 markets · 618 tradesVol: $140,7482026-08-04 18:03:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (30/95)0.8/20
1.19x (win $8,344 / loss $7,011)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.91515/15
Sortino 2.23310/10
$+0.0367 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 586 (95 markets)9.6/10
12/36 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($2,479 / $3,813)1/10

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,823,319$-924Vol: $67,070
🏛️ POLITICS#19,974$841Vol: $62,141
💻 TECH#3,991$196Vol: $3,681
💰 FINANCE#649,215$-459Vol: $3,109
🌤️ WEATHER#253,130$-14Vol: $2,543
🎭 CULTURE#698,792$-12Vol: $1,205
📈 ECONOMICS#661,019$-105Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$140,748
Total Redeem
$60
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
251B / 367S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-476
Vol: $140,748

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
30W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$-476
Win Rate
32%
30W / 65L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$278
Avg Loss
$-119

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,800 (12.177430191056057% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2,962
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$2,325
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$513
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$449
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)$268
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$200
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$196
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$184
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$180
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5$117

Top Losers

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$-1,000
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-997
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-600
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$-300
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$-291
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-275
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-210
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-206
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-200
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.047
Sortino
0.122
HHI
404
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
36.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 768s — normal for humanCV 2.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.16
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)53.4%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 11:58:21 PM57 trades$9,88418 min
3/4/2026, 9:56:37 PM3 trades$7,7574 min
3/4/2026, 4:21:49 AM2 trades$6,5000 min
4/8/2026, 6:33:21 PM94 trades$5,0792 min
6/9/2026, 12:20:48 AM19 trades$3,5702 min
4/10/2026, 6:02:53 AM18 trades$1,9850 min
4/12/2026, 7:57:07 PM16 trades$1,6100 min
3/25/2026, 7:13:41 PM1 trades$1,4780 min
6/14/2026, 5:54:19 PM10 trades$1,3170 min
6/11/2026, 7:14:37 PM9 trades$1,3094 min
4/12/2026, 7:45:57 PM14 trades$1,1930 min
6/25/2026, 11:42:32 PM2 trades$1,0780 min
3/4/2026, 4:12:33 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/23/2026, 5:06:35 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/8/2026, 4:43:34 PM1 trades$9530 min
4/12/2026, 8:20:51 PM21 trades$9450 min
4/10/2026, 6:15:41 AM17 trades$8820 min
4/6/2026, 5:12:35 AM4 trades$8250 min
6/24/2026, 1:29:50 AM2 trades$7580 min
6/25/2026, 11:13:19 PM4 trades$7502 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
03-06
04-10
06-14
06-20
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.1 / M21.5 / H53.4