@leyibaby

#3,019,85213

0x9e5ba26a25cde44cae803ad6ab5b86a127b07796

~65d· 70 markets · 691 tradesVol: $742,4662026-08-05 17:30:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (24/70)2.1/20
0.98x (win $43,907 / loss $44,763)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1300/15
Sortino -0.2690/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 736 (70 markets)8.8/10
12/39 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 104% of peak ($21,747 / $20,891)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Whale
$98,251 invested

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#10,798$2,249Vol: $575,235
SPORTS#1,870,524$-4,275Vol: $118,737
🎭 CULTURE#816,900$-2,935Vol: $26,751
CRYPTO#13,714$3,343Vol: $10,109
📈 ECONOMICS#641,259$-35Vol: $7,000
💰 FINANCE#654,743$-1,093Vol: $4,634

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,746
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$742,466
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
399B / 292S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
24W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-2,746
Win Rate
34%
24W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$1,829
Avg Loss
$-1,017

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,338 (7.407191451547112% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$13,031
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$3,747
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$3,560
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$2,782
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1,804
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$1,694
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1,599
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$1,591
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$1,585
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$1,577

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-4,128
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$-4,032
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-2,910
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,699
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-2,471
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-2,059
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$-1,909
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-1,710
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$-1,671
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-1,529

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.007
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
1204
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
7.0%
Half-Kelly
3.5%
Top-1 market
31.7%
Top-5 markets
50.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 388s — normal for humanCV 3.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.3
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.3%
Mid (20-55c)43.4%
High (>55c)21.3%

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 12:33:14 PM72 trades$30,5080 min
4/8/2026, 3:11:25 AM8 trades$20,2030 min
4/14/2026, 9:40:39 AM10 trades$18,3040 min
6/16/2026, 4:28:22 AM10 trades$15,9110 min
6/14/2026, 12:41:42 AM5 trades$5,2220 min
5/20/2026, 11:19:09 PM19 trades$4,3840 min
6/28/2026, 1:45:13 AM16 trades$3,9411 min
6/28/2026, 3:47:40 AM9 trades$3,8680 min
5/20/2026, 7:28:18 AM8 trades$3,7480 min
6/24/2026, 11:51:28 PM4 trades$3,5272 min
4/19/2026, 1:34:24 AM6 trades$2,9010 min
2/25/2026, 4:00:16 AM1 trades$2,8960 min
4/8/2026, 6:02:43 AM8 trades$2,8100 min
6/21/2026, 12:45:56 PM15 trades$2,6050 min
6/28/2026, 2:56:31 AM7 trades$2,4040 min
4/14/2026, 2:17:55 AM9 trades$2,3620 min
3/10/2026, 2:37:07 AM3 trades$2,3561 min
6/27/2026, 4:58:56 AM9 trades$2,3510 min
3/2/2026, 11:43:35 AM1 trades$2,3280 min
5/27/2026, 1:32:17 PM3 trades$2,2560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-06
04-01
04-24
06-17
06-23
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 135 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.3/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.3 / M43.4 / H21.3