@xiaodouzi

#50,63570

0x9e806ebc0d5826c377a674d0bd401ab8dde230e2

~235d· 4840 markets · 13169 tradesVol: $931,2372026-08-04 21:05:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

5% (217/4780)0/20
2.37x (win $10,854 / loss $4,582)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.45815/15
Sortino 32.76110/10
$+1.0791 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 220 (4780 markets)10/10
65/216 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($165 / $6,362)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,078
Lottery Player
99% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,408,499$-58Vol: $409,339
🌤️ WEATHER#4,564$223Vol: $220,443
🎭 CULTURE#4,201$1,306Vol: $203,623
🏛️ POLITICS#33,258$346Vol: $39,063
💰 FINANCE#639,053$-153Vol: $19,602
⚽ SPORTS#108,713$125Vol: $15,753
📈 ECONOMICS#20,100$41Vol: $13,646
📢 MENTIONS#6,968$79Vol: $1,810
💻 TECH#200,090$-2Vol: $210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,078
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$931,237
Total Redeem
$100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4840
total markets
Trades
12849B / 320S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~235d

Periods

#2
Today
$13
Vol: $187
Week
$59
Vol: $445
Month
$27
Vol: $469
All Time
$2,078
Vol: $931,237

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
5%
217W / 4563L events
Realized PnL
$2,078
Win Rate
5%
217W / 4563L
Profit Factor
2.37x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,496 (1.2010383686353006% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20?$999
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 27?$998
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on March 20?$499
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$235
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?$200
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$199
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$192
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 2?$114
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$100
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$100

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.181
Sortino
1.899
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.8
Active
Markets / Day
9.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 223s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency9.8 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.76
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)0.2%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 3:51:13 AM12 trades$4,00211 min
12/20/2025, 5:43:40 AM1 trades$4590 min
3/4/2026, 3:39:53 PM13 trades$31510 min
3/2/2026, 3:30:43 PM16 trades$19215 min
12/17/2025, 3:29:00 PM22 trades$14331 min
1/27/2026, 5:07:01 PM1 trades$1000 min
5/14/2026, 6:21:49 AM3 trades$1000 min
1/6/2026, 4:59:29 PM3 trades$971 min
4/3/2026, 9:24:25 AM7 trades$941 min
4/3/2026, 1:33:41 PM3 trades$910 min
4/9/2026, 9:23:43 AM8 trades$880 min
2/23/2026, 11:56:50 PM5 trades$856 min
2/25/2026, 4:43:24 PM2 trades$851 min
2/20/2026, 2:11:18 AM1 trades$830 min
3/20/2026, 2:49:37 AM3 trades$820 min
1/17/2026, 10:04:32 AM2 trades$784 min
2/11/2026, 4:47:33 PM1 trades$780 min
2/14/2026, 3:59:19 AM5 trades$7810 min
2/25/2026, 3:06:14 PM5 trades$768 min
2/27/2026, 11:23:19 AM11 trades$7624 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-17
01-15
02-20
03-28
05-04
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L99.5 / M0.4 / H0.2