@derekyyy

#2,788,4585

0x9ef233b795f2de5b9ff013fe1292170ca42fd233

~16d· 50 markets · 417 tradesVol: $10,6512026-08-04 17:17:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (15/49)0.3/20
0.29x (win $441 / loss $1,505)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.0240/15
Sortino -6.6420/10
$-0.5170 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2304 (49 markets)1/10
7/15 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 2075% of peak ($1,119 / $54)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#801,707$-333Vol: $5,342
₿ CRYPTO#1,328,253$-31Vol: $1,327
🌤️ WEATHER#283,288$-87Vol: $1,311
🏛️ POLITICS#62,799$104Vol: $741
⚽ SPORTS#121,023$101Vol: $598
📢 MENTIONS#115,257$-5Vol: $200
📈 ECONOMICS#618,000$-16Vol: $143
💰 FINANCE#571,653$-10Vol: $64

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-315
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,651
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
118B / 299S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
15W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-315
Win Rate
31%
15W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $292 (0.9259565010319099% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$146
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$94
Knicks vs. Spurs$51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$26
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?$5

Top Losers

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?$-615
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-119
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$-96
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?$-78
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$-67
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$-50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.355
Sortino
-0.265
HHI
1218
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.468
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.5%
Top-5 markets
61.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.55
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.3%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)55.9%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 7:36:05 PM22 trades$1,0881 min
6/21/2026, 9:08:11 PM15 trades$9124 min
6/21/2026, 7:50:55 PM32 trades$6702 min
6/24/2026, 2:56:41 PM2 trades$5600 min
6/16/2026, 12:20:49 PM39 trades$47411 min
6/17/2026, 5:14:08 AM26 trades$3527 min
6/10/2026, 6:41:24 AM2 trades$3290 min
6/16/2026, 1:51:14 PM21 trades$2196 min
6/16/2026, 12:11:15 PM14 trades$2184 min
5/17/2026, 10:26:55 AM2 trades$2000 min
5/10/2026, 6:28:50 AM2 trades$1700 min
6/21/2026, 9:24:25 PM13 trades$1592 min
6/17/2026, 8:16:38 AM47 trades$15627 min
6/21/2026, 9:44:38 PM9 trades$1462 min
6/15/2026, 11:11:07 AM9 trades$1230 min
6/16/2026, 2:30:31 PM10 trades$1120 min
6/17/2026, 7:43:49 AM26 trades$1085 min
6/17/2026, 7:28:46 AM14 trades$1070 min
6/17/2026, 3:43:32 AM8 trades$1040 min
6/15/2026, 7:29:13 AM2 trades$910 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-10
05-17
06-10
06-13
06-15
06-17
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
46.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.3 / M28.8 / H55.9