MRVs

@MRVs

#2,917,17210

0x9f7a47ef5e3ee19a2c146b3ef439b86f48b90e63

~86d· 108 markets · 532 tradesVol: $180,2672026-08-04 15:07:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (23/103)0/20
0.43x (win $2,404 / loss $5,558)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9290/15
Sortino -6.5440/10
$-0.1583 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 386 (103 markets)10/10
11/48 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,153 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,551,307$-248Vol: $148,964
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,210$-711Vol: $13,594
🎭 CULTURE#790,568$-141Vol: $8,640
💻 TECH#9,399$41Vol: $3,512
SPORTS#82,256$231Vol: $2,654
📈 ECONOMICS#655,977$-80Vol: $2,209
📢 MENTIONS#141,839$-20Vol: $409
💰 FINANCE#547,460$-5Vol: $285

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-933
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$180,267
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
108
total markets
Trades
374B / 158S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $0
Week
$-46
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $0
All Time
$-933
Vol: $180,267

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
23W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$-884
Win Rate
22%
23W / 80L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,076 (1.2178173013825717% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$461
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$328
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?$288
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$253
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?$181
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$146
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$115
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$86
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$77
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$76

Top Losers

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$-841
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-446
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-311
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-230
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-220
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-211
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$-180
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?$-166
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-146
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$-138

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.307
Sortino
-0.387
HHI
264
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.181
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
28.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 2.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)4.8%

Sessions

#12
11/25/2025, 2:39:37 PM3 trades$2,5602 min
6/1/2026, 12:38:01 PM3 trades$1,8700 min
7/22/2026, 7:07:52 PM4 trades$1,5063 min
7/16/2026, 10:26:55 PM2 trades$9570 min
10/7/2025, 2:43:16 PM2 trades$9400 min
12/29/2025, 10:05:51 AM2 trades$8710 min
6/1/2026, 12:01:51 PM5 trades$8521 min
11/27/2025, 12:07:43 PM6 trades$65114 min
3/25/2026, 5:37:15 PM1 trades$6100 min
12/20/2025, 8:01:51 PM4 trades$5924 min
12/3/2025, 11:38:15 AM3 trades$5681 min
11/6/2025, 3:12:11 PM2 trades$5210 min
3/24/2026, 9:22:29 AM2 trades$5210 min
11/26/2025, 2:04:47 PM1 trades$5200 min
11/6/2025, 9:17:13 PM6 trades$5194 min
3/24/2026, 6:47:23 PM4 trades$5061 min
11/6/2025, 9:41:57 PM1 trades$5050 min
2/28/2026, 7:50:03 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/28/2026, 7:55:41 PM1 trades$4960 min
2/24/2026, 9:05:34 PM1 trades$4900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
11-21
12-04
12-29
02-13
03-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.75/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.8 / M21.4 / H4.8