@BitHorizon

#2,648,47972

0x9f9d420743a9c7eebda736a03564dc15da40b574

~46d· 98 markets · 319 tradesVol: $21,9902026-08-05 15:51:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (44/95)8.2/20
6.42x (win $3,872 / loss $603)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.09315/15
Sortino 55.03510/10
$+0.4634 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2752 (95 markets)0/10
21/45 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($118 / $3,330)10/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,663,397$-90Vol: $13,925
🏛️ POLITICS#1,184,396$-6Vol: $3,861
🌤️ WEATHER#13,240$31Vol: $3,211
₿ CRYPTO#1,437,903$-76Vol: $554
📈 ECONOMICS#574,238$-5Vol: $323
🎭 CULTURE#156,348$1Vol: $87

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,990
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
127B / 192S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $68
Week
$-3
Vol: $258
Month
$29
Vol: $372
All Time
$-146
Vol: $21,990

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
44W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-141
Win Rate
46%
44W / 51L
Profit Factor
6.42x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,452 (24.409135907226702% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3,026
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$366
Senegal leading at halftime?$60
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$56
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5$49
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$45
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$28
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay?$24

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?$-118
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-103
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-58
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$-53
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$-30
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$-26
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-26
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-15
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$-14
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.160
Sortino
2.258
HHI
3242
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.460
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.5%
Top-5 markets
65.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12846s — normal for humanCV 4.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)59.1%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 12:29:17 PM3 trades$5,9521 min
6/10/2026, 6:35:12 AM3 trades$1530 min
6/10/2026, 10:09:18 AM4 trades$1480 min
6/6/2026, 6:57:03 PM2 trades$1480 min
6/9/2026, 10:55:06 PM2 trades$1440 min
7/12/2026, 3:32:10 AM7 trades$1300 min
6/23/2026, 1:12:05 AM4 trades$1300 min
6/9/2026, 11:52:48 PM5 trades$1250 min
6/30/2026, 11:21:28 PM4 trades$1250 min
6/11/2026, 3:53:54 PM4 trades$1110 min
6/6/2026, 9:33:43 AM3 trades$1090 min
6/17/2026, 5:06:55 PM4 trades$1020 min
6/11/2026, 8:39:07 AM2 trades$1010 min
6/16/2026, 2:22:16 AM2 trades$960 min
6/9/2026, 1:34:19 PM2 trades$950 min
6/15/2026, 12:33:01 PM4 trades$910 min
6/8/2026, 6:00:24 AM2 trades$870 min
6/9/2026, 11:37:54 AM4 trades$840 min
6/18/2026, 2:13:20 AM4 trades$820 min
6/11/2026, 3:21:18 PM4 trades$790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
06-11
06-18
06-25
07-02
07-10
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.7 / M10.2 / H59.1