@0xA3D7D0…2286

#2,228,66522

0xa3d7d084d6f2face6b8f1898108e8fbee39b8de8

~156d· 782 markets · 1268 tradesVol: $232,7272026-08-04 20:06:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

6% (49/775)0/20
1.03x (win $2,241 / loss $2,172)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1923.6/15
Sortino 0.4544.5/10
$+0.0237 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 104 (775 markets)10/10
29/153 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($470 / $439)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#791,051$-159Vol: $156,464
🏛️ POLITICS#27,331$494Vol: $50,995
💰 FINANCE#625,052$-68Vol: $6,321
📈 ECONOMICS#656,726$-85Vol: $5,033
💻 TECH#236,875$-22Vol: $3,776
₿ CRYPTO#1,486,884$-113Vol: $3,152
🌤️ WEATHER#236,574$-7Vol: $2,002
⚽ SPORTS#1,490,913$-24Vol: $1,118
📢 MENTIONS#146,127$-24Vol: $224

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$232,727
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
782
total markets
Trades
996B / 272S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~156d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-20
Vol: $491
All Time
$-32
Vol: $232,727

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
49W / 725L events
Realized PnL
$-32
Win Rate
6%
49W / 725L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $865 (26.785692164756895% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?$396
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$249
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$220
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?$109
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$104
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$99
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$92
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?$76
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$68
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$66

Top Losers

Who will win white women?$-71
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-60
US strike on Mexico by March 31?$-51
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-50
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$-25
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$-25
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?$-20
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?$-20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.010
Sortino
0.028
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.72
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)1.7%

Sessions

#12
4/14/2026, 9:12:11 AM38 trades$8281 min
6/21/2026, 1:22:07 PM21 trades$2531 min
5/3/2026, 11:21:34 PM20 trades$2161 min
5/10/2026, 12:09:47 PM32 trades$1741 min
11/5/2024, 10:36:49 AM1 trades$1450 min
5/16/2026, 12:52:06 PM47 trades$1351 min
2/24/2026, 7:50:22 PM36 trades$13556 min
5/27/2026, 9:59:13 PM26 trades$1174 min
7/26/2025, 12:33:03 AM3 trades$1161 min
5/25/2025, 4:21:31 PM11 trades$1014 min
11/13/2025, 8:47:52 AM2 trades$891 min
1/9/2026, 4:57:50 PM8 trades$832 min
6/12/2025, 11:48:55 AM4 trades$802 min
5/23/2025, 8:26:51 AM9 trades$762 min
3/13/2026, 3:24:07 PM3 trades$751 min
11/5/2024, 7:12:43 PM1 trades$710 min
4/25/2026, 9:35:26 AM36 trades$673 min
5/2/2025, 12:27:41 PM16 trades$672 min
2/25/2026, 12:20:34 AM10 trades$6510 min
1/3/2026, 5:58:53 PM1 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
06-10
07-26
11-22
02-10
03-18
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.72/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.1 / M6.2 / H1.7