@0xA4C415…0921

#125,10845

0xa4c415134b9a2bf11a08b5f52cb77af900f2e42d

~98d· 165 markets · 1578 tradesVol: $251,3352026-08-06 15:59:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (100/162)15.9/20
1.05x (win $2,894 / loss $2,769)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2073.9/15
Sortino 0.3453.4/10
$+0.0030 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 232 (162 markets)10/10
48/74 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 214% of peak ($1,326 / $620)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+422
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.7 entries/market
Consistent
48/74 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,542,422$-213Vol: $134,009
🎭 CULTURE#791,673$-160Vol: $99,492
SPORTS#44,248$774Vol: $11,114
📈 ECONOMICS#28,986$20Vol: $6,720

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$422
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$251,335
Total Redeem
$257
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
165
total markets
Trades
1306B / 272S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$33
Vol: $0
Week
$24
Vol: $2,343
Month
$35
Vol: $4,372
All Time
$422
Vol: $251,335

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
100W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$422
Win Rate
62%
100W / 62L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-47

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,546 (3.6667615253272623% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$871
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$573
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?$102
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$91
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14?$89
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$83
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$75
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$69
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?$68
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$62

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-443
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?$-354
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?$-143
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-128
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?$-127
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-125
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?$-106
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-101
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 4?$-80
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-76

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.011
Sortino
0.013
HHI
269
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 3.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)15.3%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 7:28:41 PM9 trades$1,3755 min
7/10/2026, 7:30:31 PM4 trades$1,1200 min
3/3/2026, 4:43:33 PM6 trades$8623 min
6/21/2026, 1:37:13 AM2 trades$8591 min
6/20/2026, 3:28:52 AM1 trades$8510 min
6/15/2026, 3:52:27 PM1 trades$8460 min
6/15/2026, 1:49:39 PM1 trades$8250 min
6/14/2026, 6:19:04 AM1 trades$8020 min
7/11/2026, 9:44:14 PM10 trades$7905 min
6/14/2026, 9:26:43 PM1 trades$7840 min
6/13/2026, 6:00:18 AM1 trades$7450 min
6/6/2026, 12:18:34 AM2 trades$6995 min
6/5/2026, 4:04:30 PM1 trades$6830 min
7/6/2026, 3:41:43 PM1 trades$6550 min
7/6/2026, 12:21:47 PM1 trades$6480 min
7/10/2026, 5:59:44 PM1 trades$6020 min
1/9/2026, 4:00:14 PM1 trades$5700 min
1/9/2026, 1:49:00 PM1 trades$5640 min
2/9/2026, 1:34:11 AM1 trades$5640 min
5/14/2026, 4:52:52 PM1 trades$5360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
01-16
02-20
03-07
04-25
06-04
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.6 / M3.1 / H15.3