@0xAf524B…6851

#490,17537

0xaf524b4b0769b0cb902c1838ad76b34ee42f698c

~22d· 83 markets · 492 tradesVol: $17,1842026-08-05 15:53:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (61/83)20/20
0.96x (win $314 / loss $325)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5430/15
Sortino -0.7060/10
$-0.0072 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1037 (83 markets)7.3/10
13/22 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($56 / $45)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+10
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

2
CRYPTO#160,347$28Vol: $10,511
🌤️ WEATHER#258,144$-18Vol: $6,674

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,184
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
200B / 292S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
61W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$10
Win Rate
73%
61W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $126 (12.022966507177035% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7AM ET$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 7?$10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 14?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET$8
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 13?$7

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET$-42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 10?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$-20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 9?$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3AM ET$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
230
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 256s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity14 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)74.5%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 7:12:55 PM22 trades$1,0115 min
6/27/2026, 10:05:56 AM8 trades$9850 min
7/28/2026, 12:21:20 PM12 trades$1054 min
7/7/2026, 6:07:17 PM6 trades$1041 min
7/14/2026, 5:13:53 AM4 trades$920 min
7/13/2026, 11:54:16 PM7 trades$843 min
7/13/2026, 6:13:47 PM6 trades$795 min
6/27/2026, 9:42:25 AM16 trades$742 min
7/9/2026, 5:23:56 PM11 trades$709 min
7/8/2026, 6:54:19 PM6 trades$700 min
7/13/2026, 11:47:52 PM2 trades$640 min
7/15/2026, 7:04:37 PM2 trades$640 min
7/3/2026, 9:12:17 PM13 trades$626 min
7/13/2026, 7:32:43 PM9 trades$616 min
7/16/2026, 10:58:46 AM2 trades$600 min
6/27/2026, 4:38:19 PM10 trades$587 min
7/13/2026, 7:27:04 PM2 trades$560 min
6/27/2026, 10:12:44 PM9 trades$542 min
7/13/2026, 8:15:04 PM4 trades$531 min
7/9/2026, 6:11:08 PM6 trades$523 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
06-29
07-02
07-05
07-08
07-13
07-16
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M23.5 / H74.5