@0xB2CA95…0106

#2,838,47914

0xb2ca95ddcb43adaeb2bf7e6e7d1dfce7e522cf4d

~43d· 397 markets · 1401 tradesVol: $22,4902026-08-04 19:42:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (12/53)0/20
0.83x (win $65 / loss $79)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2590/15
Sortino -1.4650/10
$-0.0019 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 773 (53 markets)8.6/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 270% of peak ($53 / $20)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,576,336$-273Vol: $6,420
🎭 CULTURE#750,120$-36Vol: $4,003
📈 ECONOMICS#657,028$-87Vol: $3,459
💰 FINANCE#606,533$-30Vol: $3,058
💻 TECH#22,884$6Vol: $2,298
CRYPTO#1,343,123$-35Vol: $1,638
SPORTS#1,351,394$-10Vol: $1,207
🌤️ WEATHER#60,901$1Vol: $71

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-463
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,490
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
397
total markets
Trades
1202B / 199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$-91
Vol: $910
Week
$-97
Vol: $4,019
Month
$-159
Vol: $5,398
All Time
$-463
Vol: $22,490

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
12W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-467
Win Rate
23%
12W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41 (0.08811940554199324% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$19
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?$16
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?$7
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$6
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$4
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$4
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$4
Will Solana reach $80 in July?$3
Will Solana reach $90 in July?$2
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?$1

Top Losers

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$-20
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-12
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$-5
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?$-4
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?$-4
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?$-3
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$-2
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$-2
Will Melanie Moreno win Love Island USA Season 8?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.064
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
1
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
1.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.8
Active
Markets / Day
9.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 687s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency9.0 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.5%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)53.4%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 11:34:08 PM1 trades$2960 min
7/12/2026, 11:20:44 AM236 trades$2462 min
7/24/2026, 4:37:33 PM8 trades$2250 min
7/24/2026, 5:02:04 PM1 trades$1780 min
8/2/2026, 11:35:09 AM6 trades$1720 min
7/30/2026, 2:48:05 AM4 trades$1173 min
7/20/2026, 11:55:00 AM4 trades$1096 min
8/3/2026, 4:47:26 PM5 trades$1050 min
8/3/2026, 3:12:14 AM1 trades$1040 min
8/3/2026, 3:30:42 AM1 trades$960 min
7/31/2026, 4:29:56 PM5 trades$967 min
7/31/2026, 3:52:35 PM2 trades$940 min
7/27/2026, 4:38:31 PM3 trades$920 min
7/30/2026, 4:48:59 PM2 trades$910 min
8/1/2026, 3:15:00 AM2 trades$910 min
7/30/2026, 4:00:36 PM2 trades$890 min
8/3/2026, 11:10:03 AM3 trades$880 min
8/3/2026, 6:04:36 PM4 trades$860 min
7/31/2026, 5:44:20 PM1 trades$840 min
8/4/2026, 12:29:51 AM5 trades$812 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-25
06-29
07-07
07-12
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.5 / M13.1 / H53.4