@0xB41858…1944

#161,14470

0xb41858d489634af214dd6815b12ae38ce0988f46

~42d· 44 markets · 215 tradesVol: $20,5182026-08-05 04:15:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (29/43)18.7/20
1.26x (win $2,080 / loss $1,657)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.13415/15
Sortino 1.56310/10
$+0.0354 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 655 (43 markets)9.2/10
23/34 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 103% of peak ($793 / $771)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+240
Consistent
23/34 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#8,791$422Vol: $11,756
📢 MENTIONS#1,912$601Vol: $3,882
🏛️ POLITICS#46,228$187Vol: $1,566
🌤️ WEATHER#296,973$-806Vol: $1,532
SPORTS#192,287$34Vol: $1,250
💰 FINANCE#641,300$-187Vol: $507

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,518
Total Redeem
$1,551
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
132B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Week
$43
Vol: $1,159
Month
$112
Vol: $1,159
All Time
$240
Vol: $20,518

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
29W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$240
Win Rate
67%
29W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,055 (4.401310298781506% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$736
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?$186
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$133
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$127
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$101
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during remarks in Georgia?$101
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$87
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?$56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?$55
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?$53

Top Losers

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-807
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-306
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$-270
Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?$-71
Will Trump say "Messi" or "Ronaldo" during trophy presentation?$-49
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-48
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?$-29
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?$-28
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?$-15
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.050
HHI
516
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
39.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1718s — normal for humanCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)84.8%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 10:05:32 PM4 trades$1,7890 min
4/24/2026, 5:30:12 AM5 trades$1,0380 min
4/25/2026, 8:09:20 PM5 trades$7421 min
6/1/2026, 2:36:35 AM9 trades$7171 min
5/18/2026, 3:41:45 AM2 trades$6500 min
5/29/2026, 9:41:27 AM1 trades$5700 min
5/1/2026, 8:30:10 PM12 trades$5220 min
5/7/2026, 11:08:06 AM1 trades$4910 min
5/30/2026, 5:12:16 AM1 trades$4600 min
5/19/2026, 9:46:08 PM8 trades$4274 min
5/13/2026, 6:00:49 AM1 trades$3820 min
5/14/2026, 9:47:23 PM5 trades$3784 min
5/19/2026, 10:42:58 PM3 trades$3754 min
4/25/2026, 11:14:44 AM2 trades$3613 min
5/1/2026, 7:12:24 PM4 trades$3110 min
4/25/2026, 9:07:10 AM1 trades$3020 min
5/25/2026, 7:51:04 AM1 trades$2730 min
4/26/2026, 3:07:26 PM2 trades$2672 min
4/26/2026, 2:30:22 AM4 trades$2430 min
6/21/2026, 4:49:29 PM2 trades$2404 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
04-18
04-28
05-07
05-19
06-01
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M10.6 / H84.8