@0xC017cB…8816

#2,896,12036

0xc017cbea62f517b787fb8eeb08b5d4d7069fc979

~61d· 589 markets · 2421 tradesVol: $44,7752026-08-04 18:13:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (390/589)18.1/20
0.79x (win $1,763 / loss $2,226)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2310/15
Sortino -2.3580/10
$-0.0272 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 55 (589 markets)10/10
38/60 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 534% of peak ($570 / $107)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Consistent
38/60 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#296,451$-697Vol: $44,509
💰 FINANCE#619,284$-50Vol: $266

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-748
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,775
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
589
total markets
Trades
873B / 1548S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
390W / 199L events
Realized PnL
$-748
Win Rate
66%
390W / 199L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $82 (0.10902331055327456% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19?$29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?$26
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?$22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?$21
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 8?$21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10?$20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13?$19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 24?$17

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?$-400
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 28?$-301
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?$-150
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?$-146
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?$-137
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 19?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 4?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 4?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 9?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.9
Active
Markets / Day
6.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2448s — normal for humanCV 1.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency6.5 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)86.5%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 12:31:46 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/27/2026, 6:45:35 AM2 trades$3920 min
6/20/2026, 3:45:29 PM2 trades$3000 min
6/20/2026, 7:50:53 AM8 trades$2845 min
6/20/2026, 4:35:31 PM4 trades$2710 min
6/25/2026, 7:45:29 PM6 trades$2670 min
6/28/2026, 5:30:32 PM9 trades$2580 min
6/27/2026, 5:30:29 AM8 trades$2510 min
6/21/2026, 6:50:29 AM10 trades$2460 min
6/25/2026, 6:25:35 PM11 trades$2400 min
6/24/2026, 5:40:38 PM13 trades$2300 min
6/21/2026, 7:25:40 AM6 trades$2260 min
6/21/2026, 6:15:31 AM8 trades$2220 min
6/25/2026, 3:01:31 AM12 trades$2160 min
6/27/2026, 7:05:37 AM8 trades$2070 min
6/28/2026, 7:10:31 AM8 trades$2050 min
6/25/2026, 7:00:35 PM7 trades$2050 min
6/27/2026, 7:11:01 PM9 trades$2050 min
6/25/2026, 8:15:29 AM5 trades$2040 min
6/28/2026, 8:30:32 AM8 trades$2010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
05-03
05-13
06-06
06-16
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M10.4 / H86.5