@0xCE2B59…2438

#209,7464

0xce2b5961474bd242246d38ef516b1560f7e00b26

~31d· 54 markets · 299 tradesVol: $12,8482026-08-05 00:39:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (8/42)0/20
0.46x (win $455 / loss $979)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0330/15
Sortino -3.1310/10
$-0.3793 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1703 (42 markets)4/10
6/19 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($759 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+130
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#66,960$92Vol: $11,599
💰 FINANCE#598,459$-21Vol: $546
CRYPTO#1,109,666$-8Vol: $303
📈 ECONOMICS#16,842$58Vol: $210
🎭 CULTURE#66,456$11Vol: $177

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,848
Total Redeem
$19
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
143B / 156S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$130
Vol: $12,848

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
8W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$130
Win Rate
19%
8W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $357 (2.7377351247600767% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$172
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$114
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$71
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$9
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$3

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-728
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-32
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$-22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-20
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$-18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-16
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$-12
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.154
Sortino
-0.134
HHI
8531
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.235
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
89.1%
Top-5 markets
131.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 3.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42%
Mid (20-55c)14.7%
High (>55c)43.4%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 8:52:55 PM2 trades$3750 min
4/7/2026, 9:04:01 PM3 trades$3640 min
5/4/2026, 3:01:26 PM18 trades$2455 min
4/12/2026, 9:46:25 PM4 trades$2011 min
7/1/2026, 11:49:22 PM9 trades$1921 min
5/7/2026, 1:05:12 PM7 trades$1621 min
5/9/2026, 10:13:56 PM10 trades$1455 min
4/7/2026, 10:43:35 AM4 trades$1360 min
5/7/2026, 2:05:17 PM10 trades$1234 min
5/12/2026, 5:35:42 PM30 trades$1227 min
4/14/2026, 6:49:25 AM7 trades$964 min
5/5/2026, 11:19:48 AM8 trades$951 min
4/9/2026, 1:32:11 PM4 trades$844 min
4/12/2026, 5:20:05 PM17 trades$767 min
5/7/2026, 11:49:27 AM6 trades$701 min
6/10/2026, 9:57:34 PM7 trades$701 min
4/20/2026, 1:39:20 PM7 trades$682 min
4/13/2026, 8:48:53 PM5 trades$611 min
5/7/2026, 1:51:22 PM4 trades$601 min
5/5/2026, 6:38:54 AM8 trades$553 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-14
04-21
05-07
05-12
05-22
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42 / M14.7 / H43.4