@0xD90eab…7421

#3,029,70634

0xd90eab472b3a37098411de046e8825c0e5c303b6

~152d· 9347 markets · 22706 tradesVol: $405,4432026-08-04 21:51:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (6422/9273)19.6/20
0.95x (win $12,239 / loss $12,838)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6700/15
Sortino -1.2420/10
$-0.0067 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 88 (9273 markets)10/10
57/149 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 464% of peak ($1,171 / $252)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Whale
$88,705 invested
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#298,825$-2,402Vol: $226,289
₿ CRYPTO#1,519,294$-164Vol: $90,070
🏛️ POLITICS#1,599,151$-532Vol: $62,081
💰 FINANCE#633,849$-105Vol: $9,663
📈 ECONOMICS#626,086$-20Vol: $6,288
🎭 CULTURE#768,932$-64Vol: $3,385
⚽ SPORTS#1,633,667$-68Vol: $3,150
💻 TECH#245,926$-62Vol: $3,092

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,469
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$405,443
Total Redeem
$11,157
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9347
total markets
Trades
14897B / 7809S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d

Periods

#2
Today
$-30
Vol: $2,998
Week
$-131
Vol: $14,394
Month
$-270
Vol: $17,689
All Time
$-3,469
Vol: $405,443

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
6422W / 2851L events
Realized PnL
$-3,469
Win Rate
69%
6422W / 2851L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,351 (0.3893984377251895% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$705
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$354
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$291
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$198
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$186
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$174
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$162
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$142
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$105
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$103

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$-194
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-194
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?$-176
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 21?$-152
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 23?$-135
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-135
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-115
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 23?$-111
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-110
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-106

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.062
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
7.2%
Half-Kelly
3.6%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
113.5
Very active
Markets / Day
46.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.3m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 254s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock114 trades/day — automation47 markets/day — mass coverage40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)81.1%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 11:17:03 AM13 trades$7787 min
6/16/2026, 4:22:39 AM26 trades$77518 min
6/17/2026, 2:00:07 AM20 trades$7308 min
6/15/2026, 3:20:57 PM25 trades$69114 min
6/16/2026, 6:46:31 AM35 trades$65417 min
6/13/2026, 12:39:49 PM10 trades$6042 min
6/21/2026, 12:43:11 AM20 trades$5829 min
6/16/2026, 12:29:43 AM45 trades$54425 min
6/15/2026, 9:16:24 PM32 trades$52917 min
6/15/2026, 8:43:13 PM44 trades$50726 min
5/4/2026, 4:45:04 PM4 trades$5020 min
6/16/2026, 2:21:58 PM20 trades$49912 min
2/24/2026, 10:25:02 AM121 trades$496189 min
6/15/2026, 10:51:45 PM13 trades$4719 min
6/16/2026, 5:18:04 AM50 trades$45926 min
6/13/2026, 10:23:40 AM3 trades$4400 min
6/16/2026, 4:09:31 PM27 trades$43312 min
7/22/2026, 9:10:31 AM13 trades$4185 min
6/20/2026, 3:14:43 PM12 trades$4094 min
7/20/2026, 1:18:55 AM20 trades$3973 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
02-13
03-15
05-01
06-07
07-05
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M12.5 / H81.1