@0xE76b8B…6277

#194,22838

0xe76b8befa27b7e4d876f9fd2b678e02e5ebe94f5

~16d· 57 markets · 156 tradesVol: $3,1402026-08-04 18:13:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (35/50)20/20
0.85x (win $378 / loss $444)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8830/15
Sortino -1.0810/10
$-0.0284 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 592 (50 markets)9.5/10
10/16 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 169% of peak ($328 / $193)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+155
Consistent
10/16 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#47,516$178Vol: $2,111
📢 MENTIONS#138,278$-16Vol: $584
📈 ECONOMICS#58,339$5Vol: $210
💻 TECH#233,866$-18Vol: $156
💰 FINANCE#68,500$6Vol: $79

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$155
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,140
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
83B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$155
Vol: $3,140

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
35W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$155
Win Rate
70%
35W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $298 (1.9181888345767943% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$191
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$66
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$42
US government shutdown in 2025?$25
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$8
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$8
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?$6
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$3
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$3

Top Losers

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$-202
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-120
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$-58
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$-20
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$-20
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$-9
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-8
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$-2
TikTok sale announced by October 31?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
553
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
42.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)95.2%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 3:51:37 AM21 trades$4474 min
6/9/2026, 8:59:37 PM12 trades$3323 min
7/18/2024, 2:58:03 AM1 trades$3000 min
5/13/2026, 7:40:44 PM4 trades$2630 min
6/17/2026, 7:20:44 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/13/2026, 4:59:33 AM4 trades$1700 min
9/29/2025, 6:56:37 PM4 trades$1674 min
5/11/2026, 6:08:15 AM10 trades$1672 min
6/6/2026, 4:30:07 AM15 trades$1622 min
5/14/2026, 5:55:57 PM8 trades$1210 min
5/11/2026, 5:43:21 AM14 trades$1165 min
7/6/2026, 1:00:35 PM4 trades$1161 min
7/6/2026, 6:10:23 AM8 trades$1025 min
7/14/2024, 7:51:30 PM4 trades$994 min
4/8/2026, 5:14:09 AM13 trades$805 min
5/11/2026, 6:02:24 AM6 trades$610 min
3/4/2026, 8:01:27 PM8 trades$549 min
5/11/2026, 5:56:53 AM2 trades$300 min
5/11/2026, 7:17:46 PM4 trades$280 min
7/6/2026, 6:21:11 AM5 trades$264 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-14
09-29
03-04
04-08
05-12
05-14
06-09
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 227 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M2.4 / H95.2