@0xF0a5eD…7998
#410,804670xf0a5ed4fbac6a236ff33df4284ccc22e4c49f2e9
~42d· 73 markets · 241 tradesVol: $4,9652026-08-04 18:13:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (29/50)14/20
1.97x (win $286 / loss $145)14.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.95915/15
Sortino 5.97410/10
$+0.0702 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 3262 (50 markets)0/10
18/26 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($104 / $144)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+21
Consistent
18/26 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#154,452$13Vol: $3,496
🎭 CULTURE#51,966$18Vol: $1,227
📈 ECONOMICS#85,881$2Vol: $125
₿ CRYPTO#404,884$1Vol: $78
💰 FINANCE#582,766$-13Vol: $37
💻 TECH#156,984$-0Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,965
Total Redeem
$48
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
119B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d
Periods
#2Today
$7
Vol: $8
Week
$5
Vol: $25
Month
$10
Vol: $69
All Time
$21
Vol: $4,965
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
29W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$21
Win Rate
58%
29W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.97x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $151 (7.170152091254752% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$63
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$63
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$13
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$11
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$8
Top Losers
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-66
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$-20
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$-17
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$-17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-12
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?$-4
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?$-4
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?$-2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-2
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.203
Sortino
0.194
HHI
2062
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.9%
Top-5 markets
53.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 282s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)74.8%
Sessions
#125/3/2026, 6:46:58 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/17/2026, 8:42:48 AM4 trades$8742 min
5/29/2026, 6:58:16 AM8 trades$6534 min
4/23/2026, 8:46:38 PM7 trades$2705 min
5/1/2026, 2:55:36 PM6 trades$1151 min
4/26/2026, 8:09:00 AM3 trades$900 min
7/2/2026, 7:51:32 AM10 trades$873 min
4/22/2026, 6:50:26 PM6 trades$783 min
4/22/2026, 12:15:34 PM9 trades$678 min
5/3/2026, 6:58:28 AM5 trades$624 min
4/23/2026, 3:16:50 PM4 trades$563 min
6/23/2026, 5:04:44 AM7 trades$543 min
7/28/2026, 1:51:41 PM10 trades$4510 min
4/28/2026, 7:10:08 AM4 trades$430 min
3/13/2026, 3:50:31 PM2 trades$423 min
4/14/2026, 11:23:09 AM2 trades$420 min
5/3/2026, 7:08:30 AM2 trades$400 min
6/16/2026, 7:39:03 AM4 trades$362 min
7/2/2026, 7:44:43 AM4 trades$332 min
6/21/2026, 7:10:16 AM4 trades$321 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
04-09
04-20
04-29
05-29
06-21
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M18.5 / H74.8