@0xF356AC…6104

#2,895,78019

0xf356ac3f3a477d287882fa96ba0d43fbc8132d35

~33d· 42 markets · 105 tradesVol: $13,6742026-08-04 18:54:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (17/37)8/20
0.07x (win $69 / loss $1,001)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.2020/15
Sortino -9.0100/10
$-0.2594 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 572 (37 markets)9.6/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 46006% of peak ($934 / $2)0/10

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,604,013$-643Vol: $10,634
💰 FINANCE#593,155$-19Vol: $1,276
₿ CRYPTO#229,098$11Vol: $574
🎭 CULTURE#750,023$-36Vol: $477
💻 TECH#241,349$-36Vol: $241

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-746
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,674
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
65B / 40S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$7
Vol: $0
All Time
$-746
Vol: $13,674

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
17W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-746
Win Rate
46%
17W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-50

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.0460857908847185% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$14
Will there be another debate?$14
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?$7
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? $7
Iran military response before October?$7
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?$6
Will FPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?$3
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?$3
Who is asked the first debate question?$3
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?$2

Top Losers

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$-313
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?$-299
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?$-60
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$-60
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$-40
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$-40
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-40
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-37
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?$-28
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.520
Sortino
-0.460
HHI
210
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.464
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
25.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 460s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.92
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)60%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 8:03:01 AM13 trades$8082 min
1/15/2026, 2:02:04 AM2 trades$6594 min
1/15/2026, 12:24:44 PM1 trades$4390 min
3/12/2026, 4:55:35 PM1 trades$3860 min
1/17/2026, 8:45:54 AM1 trades$3670 min
9/10/2024, 2:29:29 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/13/2026, 8:41:16 PM1 trades$2020 min
10/6/2024, 9:03:56 AM2 trades$2000 min
9/10/2024, 7:25:20 PM7 trades$1955 min
7/18/2026, 8:07:45 PM5 trades$1840 min
9/27/2024, 11:28:07 AM2 trades$1602 min
10/7/2024, 5:48:13 AM2 trades$1581 min
10/6/2024, 8:55:50 AM2 trades$1410 min
10/1/2024, 4:10:42 PM1 trades$1360 min
9/29/2024, 3:44:10 PM2 trades$1352 min
3/17/2026, 10:11:37 AM1 trades$1130 min
3/17/2026, 9:28:55 AM1 trades$1000 min
9/5/2024, 7:32:26 PM2 trades$1004 min
1/3/2026, 5:34:19 PM1 trades$810 min
9/22/2024, 6:35:24 AM3 trades$741 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-05
09-13
09-27
10-01
10-06
02-13
01-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 498 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M30.8 / H60