@0xFd4760…8666

#2,780,56115

0xfd4760db8bce4e8b70e7366c1e83842559cda9b2

~14d· 21 markets · 76 tradesVol: $6,2072026-08-05 05:03:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (7/21)1.7/20
0.13x (win $83 / loss $628)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9810/15
Sortino -7.3830/10
$-0.5210 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1278 (21 markets)6.1/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 1111% of peak ($602 / $54)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#134,186$20Vol: $3,245
📢 MENTIONS#171,386$-301Vol: $1,741
🎭 CULTURE#57,006$15Vol: $571
💰 FINANCE#615,009$-42Vol: $418
📈 ECONOMICS#44,048$9Vol: $231

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-300
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,207
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
26B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
7W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-300
Win Rate
33%
7W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54 (0.18168163156313627% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$23
Will Trump say "Fun" this week? (March 29)$17
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?$15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$12
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$9
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?$4
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Tribute to America Rally?$3

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?$-398
Will Trump say "Delcy" or "Rodriguez" this week? (April 5)$-200
Will Trump say "Ballistic Missile" this week? (March 29)$-10
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$-9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-3
Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?$-2
Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?$-2
Will Trump say "KAG" or "Keep America Great" in June?$-2
Will Trump say "Regarded" in June?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.396
Sortino
-0.290
HHI
1302
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.521
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.2%
Top-5 markets
72.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)26.9%
High (>55c)46.2%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 7:42:33 PM12 trades$3920 min
4/2/2026, 10:52:59 AM15 trades$2170 min
6/4/2026, 8:38:36 PM3 trades$2020 min
3/30/2026, 7:47:25 PM1 trades$1230 min
3/31/2026, 4:37:53 PM7 trades$1200 min
3/23/2026, 3:33:13 PM1 trades$1050 min
3/14/2026, 11:48:15 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/13/2026, 1:20:29 AM1 trades$960 min
3/23/2026, 6:10:43 PM1 trades$780 min
3/22/2026, 5:23:01 PM1 trades$620 min
3/22/2026, 8:57:29 PM2 trades$610 min
6/15/2026, 2:21:27 PM4 trades$500 min
3/16/2026, 12:29:47 AM1 trades$500 min
3/16/2026, 12:36:27 AM1 trades$500 min
3/11/2026, 12:43:07 AM1 trades$490 min
7/5/2026, 3:45:07 AM2 trades$420 min
3/31/2026, 12:34:53 AM1 trades$350 min
6/26/2026, 6:14:28 PM18 trades$291 min
3/30/2026, 11:15:31 PM1 trades$200 min
3/23/2026, 9:12:57 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
03-22
03-23
03-30
03-31
04-02
06-04
06-15
06-26
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M26.9 / H46.2