@0xRaph
#2,763,847300x68c356cdf394e11e845f0569654e97f05347cb75
~44d· 98 markets · 778 tradesVol: $114,2652026-08-05 17:24:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (44/79)12.8/20
0.85x (win $1,379 / loss $1,618)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0130/15
Sortino -1.2770/10
$-0.0090 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 337 (79 markets)10/10
13/23 profitable days (57%)6.6/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($934 / $695)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.9 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders
Categories
8🌤️ WEATHER#9,903$55Vol: $56,393
₿ CRYPTO#33,301$850Vol: $26,139
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,567$-804Vol: $12,176
💰 FINANCE#66,670$7Vol: $9,802
🎭 CULTURE#706,420$-14Vol: $3,269
📈 ECONOMICS#667,637$-180Vol: $3,000
⚽ SPORTS#893,528$-1Vol: $400
📢 MENTIONS#43,761$1Vol: $92
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,265
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
445B / 333S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $0
All Time
$-270
Vol: $114,265
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
44W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-269
Win Rate
56%
44W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-48
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $604 (2.2460588935157646% of PnL)
Top Winners
Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?$237
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?$195
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?$172
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$166
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$93
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?$80
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$67
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?$57
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$49
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?$43
Top Losers
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$-539
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-455
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?$-116
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$-115
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-113
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-104
Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-72
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$-44
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$-9
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
25.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)64.9%
Sessions
#123/29/2026, 10:08:42 AM27 trades$1,86029 min
2/17/2026, 9:55:31 PM3 trades$1,7607 min
1/21/2026, 6:53:08 AM1 trades$1,0220 min
3/3/2026, 1:43:09 PM1 trades$9220 min
4/10/2026, 2:32:01 PM16 trades$9221 min
4/9/2026, 12:42:47 PM4 trades$9040 min
1/20/2026, 11:15:36 PM1 trades$8830 min
3/15/2026, 8:59:43 PM2 trades$8500 min
3/29/2026, 3:04:08 PM3 trades$7623 min
4/2/2026, 9:58:27 AM11 trades$7098 min
4/4/2026, 4:56:25 PM9 trades$6875 min
3/29/2026, 10:54:36 AM11 trades$67915 min
3/28/2026, 1:28:29 AM1 trades$6430 min
1/21/2026, 1:19:56 AM2 trades$6133 min
3/24/2026, 3:52:39 PM1 trades$6090 min
1/15/2026, 9:41:54 PM1 trades$6000 min
4/1/2026, 3:16:13 PM2 trades$5673 min
3/31/2026, 3:15:49 PM2 trades$5400 min
4/3/2026, 4:17:19 PM1 trades$5400 min
4/29/2026, 1:42:22 PM2 trades$5400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
02-17
03-17
03-29
04-01
04-04
04-10
06-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 107 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.3 / M1.8 / H64.9