Sarude

@Sarude

#2,897,39718

0xa05d08a33feeb3daad477ee04046e46981d60539

~100d· 107 markets · 343 tradesVol: $33,696 @Sarude2212026-08-04 21:44:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (38/91)5.9/20
0.74x (win $1,159 / loss $1,575)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7640/15
Sortino -2.4850/10
$-0.0739 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 534 (91 markets)9.8/10
23/58 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 1507% of peak ($703 / $47)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,501,799$-133Vol: $17,183
SPORTS#1,773,854$-319Vol: $7,133
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,323$-107Vol: $5,480
📈 ECONOMICS#48,192$8Vol: $2,712
🎭 CULTURE#712,638$-16Vol: $369
🌤️ WEATHER#258,225$-18Vol: $345
📢 MENTIONS#164,427$-102Vol: $316
💰 FINANCE#614,364$-41Vol: $55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-755
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,696
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
207B / 136S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$22
Vol: $0
All Time
$-755
Vol: $33,696

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
38W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-755
Win Rate
42%
38W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $542 (0.7179246157308725% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?$378
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$82
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$82
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$80
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$70
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$48
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$46
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$33
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?$32

Top Losers

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-287
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$-205
Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?$-156
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-153
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-111
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$-100
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$-55
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-49
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.120
HHI
619
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.7%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 644s — normal for humanCV 1.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)53.6%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 10:03:57 PM12 trades$3860 min
5/17/2026, 2:22:38 AM1 trades$3530 min
5/11/2026, 7:57:14 PM2 trades$3141 min
4/8/2026, 7:05:11 AM13 trades$2832 min
3/28/2026, 9:55:42 PM1 trades$2390 min
3/8/2026, 3:16:05 AM1 trades$2380 min
5/12/2026, 9:14:55 AM5 trades$2102 min
10/20/2025, 4:08:23 PM2 trades$2011 min
1/28/2026, 9:23:21 AM1 trades$2000 min
10/26/2025, 3:08:31 PM2 trades$1981 min
12/8/2025, 6:56:09 AM2 trades$1843 min
3/28/2026, 5:35:53 PM1 trades$1650 min
2/24/2026, 8:10:52 AM2 trades$1591 min
3/25/2026, 8:02:39 AM1 trades$1500 min
1/22/2026, 7:25:28 PM1 trades$1430 min
1/18/2026, 8:20:04 PM1 trades$1410 min
5/6/2026, 5:11:10 AM4 trades$1411 min
7/9/2026, 11:26:37 AM2 trades$1370 min
1/18/2026, 8:29:10 PM1 trades$1290 min
1/21/2026, 7:33:10 PM1 trades$1180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
11-10
12-27
01-25
03-24
05-06
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M32.9 / H53.6