@wenli1506

#2,760,46822

0xa0877bf99e66975af1e0555012286fc7204791f7

~46d· 133 markets · 1074 tradesVol: $44,1442026-08-04 22:23:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (64/133)9.1/20
0.92x (win $911 / loss $991)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9190/15
Sortino -1.4430/10
$-0.0147 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 305 (133 markets)10/10
14/39 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 141% of peak ($278 / $198)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 8.1 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#292,620$-266Vol: $44,144

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,144
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
429B / 645S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-52
Vol: $788
Week
$-64
Vol: $1,791
Month
$-105
Vol: $2,450
All Time
$-266
Vol: $44,144

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
64W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-266
Win Rate
48%
64W / 69L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $341 (1.2815322095123423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 18?$141
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?$124
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?$75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?$68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?$51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?$39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?$37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$35

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$-70
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?$-61
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?$-55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 10?$-53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4?$-51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$-51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?$-39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 31?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
360
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
33.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 386s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.6%
High (>55c)67.6%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 10:43:38 AM17 trades$5211 min
6/26/2026, 5:24:34 PM20 trades$4546 min
6/26/2026, 3:24:20 PM28 trades$3688 min
7/11/2026, 3:21:38 AM8 trades$2979 min
6/28/2026, 4:07:43 AM19 trades$2698 min
7/6/2026, 7:47:05 AM16 trades$2614 min
6/27/2026, 7:19:23 AM2 trades$2370 min
6/27/2026, 5:10:32 PM9 trades$2052 min
6/28/2026, 4:43:47 AM5 trades$2030 min
6/28/2026, 5:13:34 AM4 trades$2000 min
7/7/2026, 8:18:56 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/11/2026, 6:53:13 AM11 trades$1922 min
7/9/2026, 11:28:52 PM12 trades$1807 min
7/7/2026, 9:41:40 PM6 trades$1621 min
6/24/2026, 8:15:35 AM5 trades$1570 min
7/10/2026, 8:33:44 AM8 trades$1387 min
7/9/2026, 10:08:47 AM6 trades$1361 min
6/26/2026, 5:26:50 AM4 trades$1351 min
6/28/2026, 6:29:34 AM5 trades$1340 min
7/7/2026, 3:23:01 AM15 trades$12810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-10
06-16
06-23
07-07
07-16
07-29
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M26.6 / H67.6