@JCastillotrading

#2,931,54029

0xa0998acf6240de79e936704664b6f63f0ac85623

~22d· 115 markets · 812 tradesVol: $57,956 @Castillo_Juan_2026-08-04 21:53:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (65/110)14.5/20
0.23x (win $363 / loss $1,589)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.8210/15
Sortino -5.5970/10
$-0.0347 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 569 (110 markets)9.7/10
10/21 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,227 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#297,551$-973Vol: $52,781
⚽ SPORTS#1,687,879$-106Vol: $3,708
₿ CRYPTO#177,818$21Vol: $1,040
💻 TECH#7,875$59Vol: $163
💰 FINANCE#609,826$-34Vol: $129
🎭 CULTURE#129,160$2Vol: $78
📈 ECONOMICS#385,925$-0Vol: $49

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,038
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,956
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
566B / 246S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,038
Vol: $57,956

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
65W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-1,038
Win Rate
59%
65W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $118 (0.11377799181314711% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$49
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?$40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?$29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?$25
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on April 29?$19
Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?$11
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?$11
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?$10

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?$-891
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?$-393
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?$-115
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?$-47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 1?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 4?$-14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?$-9
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.297
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
587
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
45.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.0m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 308s — normal for humanCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.86
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.1%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)74.9%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 1:59:26 PM3 trades$2,4901 min
4/27/2026, 8:54:02 PM2 trades$2,4160 min
4/29/2026, 6:31:50 PM2 trades$1,9980 min
4/30/2026, 4:33:08 PM9 trades$1,9811 min
4/25/2026, 4:50:20 PM18 trades$1,9202 min
4/29/2026, 11:59:10 AM3 trades$1,4890 min
4/30/2026, 4:02:44 PM6 trades$1,3460 min
5/2/2026, 2:21:54 PM1 trades$1,2500 min
4/27/2026, 10:42:52 PM2 trades$1,0120 min
5/2/2026, 1:27:48 PM2 trades$9900 min
4/29/2026, 8:55:52 PM1 trades$8990 min
5/5/2026, 7:30:16 PM1 trades$8640 min
7/8/2026, 10:55:29 PM20 trades$8330 min
5/6/2026, 8:34:59 PM1 trades$8140 min
4/25/2026, 8:46:32 PM1 trades$7980 min
4/27/2026, 4:37:16 PM14 trades$7903 min
4/28/2026, 2:07:54 PM17 trades$7598 min
4/29/2026, 6:00:16 PM8 trades$6514 min
5/2/2026, 5:17:24 PM31 trades$6510 min
4/29/2026, 11:39:46 AM4 trades$5982 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-08
04-24
04-27
04-30
05-03
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
46% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.1 / M12 / H74.9