@chengguo
#1,445,428420xa0c61479172467487ece13df515eb2215fab4501
~50d· 76 markets · 105 tradesVol: $11,4852026-08-04 21:44:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (55/76)20/20
0.97x (win $90 / loss $93)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1030/15
Sortino -0.1310/10
$-0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 208 (76 markets)10/10
38/49 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 280% of peak ($62 / $22)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 72%
Consistent
38/49 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#900,158$-1Vol: $5,644
🎭 CULTURE#26,230$67Vol: $3,563
🌤️ WEATHER#198,907$-1Vol: $916
💰 FINANCE#59,212$9Vol: $690
🏛️ POLITICS#1,492,567$-70Vol: $528
📈 ECONOMICS#192,698$0Vol: $134
⚽ SPORTS#1,223,021$-5Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,485
Total Redeem
$192
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
83B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2
Vol: $11,485
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
55W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
72%
55W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77 (31.804979253112034% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$45
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$23
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?$9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?$1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$1
Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?$0
Top Losers
US government shutdown Saturday?$-62
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$-10
Bruins vs. Blues$-5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$-2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 5?$-2
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$-2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 20?$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?$-1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 3?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.005
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
205
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
12.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 255s — normal for humanCV 0.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)75.9%
Sessions
#125/7/2026, 12:41:05 PM8 trades$5045 min
3/13/2026, 11:05:51 AM2 trades$1420 min
3/2/2026, 11:58:09 AM3 trades$1416 min
3/11/2026, 11:36:29 AM1 trades$1410 min
3/21/2026, 8:24:43 AM1 trades$1400 min
3/24/2026, 1:07:39 PM1 trades$1400 min
3/31/2026, 1:50:09 PM1 trades$1400 min
4/27/2026, 10:32:26 AM2 trades$1380 min
11/28/2025, 12:57:33 PM1 trades$1380 min
4/30/2026, 11:35:54 AM3 trades$1370 min
5/3/2026, 11:48:44 AM2 trades$1370 min
12/5/2025, 10:23:03 AM1 trades$1370 min
3/19/2026, 11:07:13 AM1 trades$1370 min
5/21/2026, 10:18:58 AM3 trades$1360 min
5/10/2026, 12:08:09 PM2 trades$1360 min
1/10/2026, 10:33:14 AM1 trades$1350 min
1/5/2026, 1:41:47 PM1 trades$1340 min
1/1/2026, 1:45:51 PM1 trades$1330 min
1/14/2026, 1:33:46 PM1 trades$1330 min
9/21/2025, 1:38:02 PM2 trades$1315 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-21
11-01
12-08
01-10
03-11
04-27
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.5 / M3.6 / H75.9