ThisTime4Real

@ThisTime4Real

#2,564,32819

0xa0c9346979684083aca2e052c19e9b9c6652a1fc

~42d· 37 markets · 137 tradesVol: $6,6092026-08-04 18:07:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (13/30)6.7/20
0.41x (win $491 / loss $1,190)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5520/15
Sortino -4.8070/10
$-0.2707 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 800 (30 markets)8.5/10
12/26 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 1091% of peak ($770 / $71)0/10

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,465,549$-20Vol: $2,663
💰 FINANCE#19,943$84Vol: $2,020
🏛️ POLITICS#1,506,350$-86Vol: $834
📈 ECONOMICS#39,662$11Vol: $527
🎭 CULTURE#781,021$-100Vol: $268
📢 MENTIONS#25,204$5Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-103
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,609
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
63B / 74S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $164
Month
$9
Vol: $204
All Time
$-103
Vol: $6,609

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
13W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-103
Win Rate
43%
13W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $371 (3.606313744536182% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$171
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?$130
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?$70
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?$30
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$27
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5$18
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$9
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko$8
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff$7

Top Losers

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-400
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$-291
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$-200
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-60
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5$-60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-19
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.218
HHI
1116
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.254
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
66%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3888s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)74.6%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 4:15:04 PM10 trades$3314 min
4/8/2026, 6:16:29 PM10 trades$2602 min
5/18/2026, 8:10:35 PM2 trades$2550 min
7/20/2026, 6:26:52 PM2 trades$2100 min
4/25/2026, 1:26:10 PM3 trades$2000 min
6/7/2026, 7:08:49 PM4 trades$1920 min
5/25/2026, 8:23:11 PM4 trades$1830 min
6/6/2026, 4:34:51 PM7 trades$1550 min
4/11/2026, 4:05:31 PM2 trades$1400 min
5/26/2026, 12:29:36 PM3 trades$1390 min
5/1/2026, 4:18:44 PM2 trades$1350 min
6/21/2026, 4:21:07 PM5 trades$1340 min
5/11/2026, 2:40:31 PM3 trades$1290 min
5/13/2026, 9:36:59 AM3 trades$1290 min
7/23/2026, 7:51:09 PM2 trades$1280 min
5/18/2026, 3:38:02 PM2 trades$1230 min
3/20/2026, 11:29:37 AM1 trades$1170 min
8/2/2026, 2:42:20 AM1 trades$1160 min
3/25/2026, 3:59:03 PM1 trades$1150 min
5/24/2026, 2:55:48 PM5 trades$930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
03-18
04-08
05-13
06-06
06-15
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 103 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.3 / M19 / H74.6