DogePlayMid

@DogePlayMid

#3,048,31115

0xa0d19a6f911dda9911c2a01b28c30587a5ce734c

~62d· 140 markets · 725 tradesVol: $252,210 @Dogeplaymid2026-08-04 22:11:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (37/104)2.8/20
0.23x (win $8,038 / loss $35,415)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2970/15
Sortino -4.2620/10
$-0.4613 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 684 (104 markets)9.1/10
17/41 profitable days (41%)2.9/10
Max DD 2822% of peak ($28,388 / $1,006)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Whale
$59,343 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,472$-2,666Vol: $150,020
CRYPTO#38,319$642Vol: $38,922
SPORTS#1,750,104$-229Vol: $28,269
📈 ECONOMICS#680,835$-1,957Vol: $16,717
📢 MENTIONS#78,817$-1Vol: $9,140
💰 FINANCE#656,105$-1,824Vol: $7,792
🎭 CULTURE#158,762$1Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,028
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$252,210
Total Redeem
$2,678
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
140
total markets
Trades
445B / 280S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,028
Vol: $252,210

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
37W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-6,028
Win Rate
36%
37W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$217
Avg Loss
$-824

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,225 (0.8666994009949688% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$3,360
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,255
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$610
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$540
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$486
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?$483
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?$295
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$250
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$145
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$137

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-18,229
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-3,708
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-3,291
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?$-2,042
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$-1,884
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$-1,813
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,190
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-668
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-560
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-478

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.222
Sortino
-0.178
HHI
1411
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.349
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.3%
Top-5 markets
70.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.2%
Mid (20-55c)13.5%
High (>55c)52.4%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 8:02:33 PM4 trades$9,9372 min
6/18/2026, 8:05:17 PM13 trades$5,0450 min
4/8/2026, 1:49:03 AM2 trades$5,0010 min
4/8/2026, 4:10:21 PM5 trades$4,9810 min
6/19/2026, 1:57:05 AM1 trades$4,1140 min
6/19/2026, 1:08:26 AM1 trades$3,5350 min
6/19/2026, 12:09:50 AM7 trades$3,5321 min
3/28/2026, 3:07:35 AM6 trades$3,4823 min
4/4/2026, 5:03:03 PM3 trades$2,8184 min
2/28/2026, 7:24:39 PM13 trades$2,6398 min
4/19/2026, 4:31:58 PM1 trades$2,5510 min
2/28/2026, 6:30:43 PM1 trades$2,3170 min
4/4/2026, 6:21:49 PM15 trades$2,2161 min
4/20/2026, 4:52:08 PM12 trades$1,9670 min
4/9/2026, 9:07:49 PM3 trades$1,8862 min
3/8/2026, 6:38:13 PM10 trades$1,8575 min
2/27/2026, 5:10:51 PM1 trades$1,8300 min
3/15/2026, 8:55:55 PM2 trades$1,8061 min
3/28/2026, 8:29:25 AM2 trades$1,7312 min
3/31/2026, 3:12:47 AM1 trades$1,6870 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
02-28
03-27
04-04
04-11
04-26
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 121 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.2 / M13.5 / H52.4