@hollandcynthia

#1,768,35020

0xa0fcc2cb7f331129334e4b714f576e7d93f4a188

~33d· 27 markets · 48 tradesVol: $26,6632026-08-04 23:35:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (15/27)12.8/20
0.43x (win $6 / loss $15)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3110/15
Sortino -3.4590/10
$-0.0015 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5092 (27 markets)0/10
15/26 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($12 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,392,443$-13Vol: $26,094
₿ CRYPTO#327,097$3Vol: $251
📈 ECONOMICS#383,445$-0Vol: $103
🎭 CULTURE#271,060$0Vol: $78
💰 FINANCE#124,728$1Vol: $75
🏛️ POLITICS#419,548$0Vol: $49
💻 TECH#121,684$0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,663
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
28B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8
Vol: $26,663

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
15W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
56%
15W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.6396181384248208% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$3
Will Solana dip to $180 August 25–31?$1
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?$1
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?$0
Will Solana reach $210 in April?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?$0
Will Solana dip to $60 in May?$0
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?$0
Will BNB dip to $300 in June?$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0

Top Losers

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?$-8
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-4
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31?$-1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$-0
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?$-0
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-0
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?$-0
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.170
Sortino
-0.124
HHI
4796
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
49.0%
Half-Kelly
24.5%
Top-1 market
64.6%
Top-5 markets
91.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 536s — normal for humanCV 3.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)92.9%

Sessions

#12
3/13/2025, 4:53:23 AM1 trades$3,5410 min
3/13/2025, 5:17:37 AM1 trades$3,5370 min
4/13/2025, 1:54:09 PM1 trades$1,3680 min
4/13/2025, 2:03:05 PM1 trades$1,3660 min
1/7/2025, 10:11:39 PM2 trades$401 min
1/7/2025, 11:03:39 PM2 trades$311 min
10/31/2025, 8:06:33 AM1 trades$290 min
5/28/2025, 9:43:40 PM1 trades$280 min
5/27/2026, 8:07:50 AM2 trades$280 min
1/17/2025, 5:17:32 PM1 trades$280 min
1/20/2025, 11:31:47 AM1 trades$270 min
8/29/2025, 5:09:21 AM1 trades$270 min
6/26/2026, 10:58:08 AM2 trades$260 min
5/8/2025, 12:07:17 PM1 trades$260 min
5/11/2025, 1:28:58 PM1 trades$260 min
7/27/2025, 5:19:49 PM1 trades$260 min
6/28/2025, 8:25:13 AM1 trades$250 min
4/21/2025, 2:15:26 PM1 trades$240 min
4/21/2025, 2:23:50 PM1 trades$240 min
11/27/2025, 12:20:11 PM1 trades$230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-22
02-27
04-16
05-28
09-29
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M3.6 / H92.9