@gaoren8

#2,879,50339

0xa1443d27973e3228944e0987287987efde5e8fc7

~19d· 49 markets · 133 tradesVol: $11,1742026-08-06 07:11:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (35/48)20/20
0.03x (win $21 / loss $636)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6430/15
Sortino -4.5120/10
$-0.0869 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 747 (48 markets)8.8/10
15/17 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($631 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Consistent
15/17 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#101,159$4Vol: $4,043
🏛️ POLITICS#235,130$4Vol: $3,332
📈 ECONOMICS#133,858$1Vol: $2,109
CRYPTO#1,602,844$-635Vol: $1,606
🌤️ WEATHER#102,724$0Vol: $55
💰 FINANCE#195,411$0Vol: $23
SPORTS#397,806$2Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-625
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,174
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
69B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $18
Month
$1
Vol: $18
All Time
$-625
Vol: $11,174

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
35W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-625
Win Rate
73%
35W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-91

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11 (0.017823714820562872% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$3
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezda$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$1
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-268
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-140
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-98
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-96
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-36162.941
HHI
796
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
51.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)94.2%

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 11:50:08 AM2 trades$1,0783 min
5/13/2026, 4:24:17 PM5 trades$1,0200 min
5/14/2026, 3:26:11 PM4 trades$8191 min
5/15/2026, 2:33:03 PM4 trades$7175 min
5/16/2026, 1:56:02 PM3 trades$6110 min
1/17/2026, 10:04:00 AM2 trades$6092 min
1/17/2026, 10:18:16 AM2 trades$6092 min
1/16/2026, 12:16:48 PM3 trades$5741 min
1/17/2026, 11:13:24 AM1 trades$5390 min
1/17/2026, 10:57:30 AM1 trades$5380 min
1/17/2026, 12:27:54 PM3 trades$5062 min
1/17/2026, 12:06:08 PM1 trades$5060 min
5/14/2026, 3:16:38 PM6 trades$4942 min
1/16/2026, 12:57:46 PM8 trades$4308 min
1/17/2026, 9:25:48 AM4 trades$3929 min
5/15/2026, 3:36:22 PM8 trades$3180 min
1/16/2026, 2:20:46 PM9 trades$2680 min
1/16/2026, 12:42:48 PM2 trades$2232 min
5/14/2026, 3:37:52 PM1 trades$1630 min
1/16/2026, 12:01:04 PM1 trades$1580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
01-21
03-20
03-27
04-03
05-14
05-16
06-15
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M5.8 / H94.2