yolkhead

@yolkhead

#2,764,2653

0xa148f913e62759a9955772c5c5ffa36277f7f655

~17d· 20 markets · 199 tradesVol: $34,4602026-08-05 16:39:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (3/11)0/20
0.21x (win $344 / loss $1,612)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9110/15
Sortino -7.4050/10
$-0.2385 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3314 (11 markets)0/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,508 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
💻 TECH#250,661$-117Vol: $18,988
🏛️ POLITICS#1,559,389$-185Vol: $12,922
🎭 CULTURE#27,138$63Vol: $1,244
💰 FINANCE#591,783$-18Vol: $789
SPORTS#1,151,597$-3Vol: $480
CRYPTO#1,148,911$-10Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,460
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
52B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $0
Week
$-7
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $179
All Time
$-270
Vol: $34,460

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-245
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$115
Avg Loss
$-230

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $344 (1.4034422284758759% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$144
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$102
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$99

Top Losers

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-1,206
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-196
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$-192
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-15
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$-2
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.383
Sortino
-0.334
HHI
1267
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.326
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
70.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
45.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2717s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)59.6%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 11:41:37 AM15 trades$3,4141 min
7/2/2026, 10:01:22 AM9 trades$3,0750 min
6/26/2026, 8:10:37 PM25 trades$2,1204 min
6/28/2026, 5:43:52 AM20 trades$1,0095 min
6/26/2026, 7:48:17 PM2 trades$6350 min
7/23/2026, 4:33:25 PM5 trades$5950 min
7/23/2026, 2:44:45 PM1 trades$4510 min
7/6/2026, 7:20:47 PM6 trades$4000 min
7/25/2026, 7:32:36 PM11 trades$3673 min
7/4/2026, 9:28:17 PM5 trades$2730 min
6/25/2026, 6:10:40 PM10 trades$2640 min
7/1/2026, 4:51:43 PM2 trades$2620 min
6/27/2026, 5:40:05 AM9 trades$2540 min
6/27/2026, 7:09:38 AM6 trades$2503 min
6/30/2026, 9:37:55 PM1 trades$2490 min
7/6/2026, 10:36:20 AM4 trades$2401 min
6/27/2026, 5:10:16 AM5 trades$2320 min
7/4/2026, 2:39:13 PM1 trades$2030 min
7/23/2026, 1:59:28 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/27/2026, 7:38:59 AM2 trades$1800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
07-02
07-04
07-06
07-08
07-23
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.8 / M11.5 / H59.6