OldJoeCamel

@OldJoeCamel

#254,97285

0xa1897116da830f8c9b31dc2f1116d394f35e79fe

~31d· 20 markets · 184 tradesVol: $3,8842026-08-04 17:21:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (7/13)11.9/20
15.06x (win $316 / loss $21)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.37715/15
Sortino 100.52610/10
$+0.2086 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1134 (13 markets)6.8/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($15 / $297)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+88
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 5%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#128,104$22Vol: $2,960
⚽ SPORTS#209,510$27Vol: $545
🎭 CULTURE#677,130$-9Vol: $180
₿ CRYPTO#183,172$20Vol: $120
📢 MENTIONS#12,215$29Vol: $76
💰 FINANCE#377,049$-0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$88
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,884
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
90B / 94S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$88
Vol: $3,884

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
7W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$88
Win Rate
54%
7W / 6L
Profit Factor
15.06x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $253 (2.8627672813666707% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$145
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$68
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$39
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$32
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$2
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$-15
Will Haiti be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$-2
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$-2
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.522
Sortino
3.661
HHI
433
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.426
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
43%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
56.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3360s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)53.3%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2026, 1:59:40 AM6 trades$2204 min
5/6/2026, 1:24:40 AM5 trades$1143 min
6/25/2026, 10:30:11 PM2 trades$1110 min
5/12/2026, 7:12:22 PM3 trades$1100 min
6/25/2026, 10:14:49 PM5 trades$1050 min
5/6/2026, 11:59:36 AM4 trades$1000 min
6/24/2026, 11:49:17 AM3 trades$1000 min
6/16/2026, 12:29:36 PM3 trades$860 min
5/28/2026, 10:59:11 PM2 trades$860 min
5/20/2026, 12:53:25 PM3 trades$850 min
5/15/2026, 5:02:27 PM2 trades$760 min
4/30/2026, 8:05:58 PM2 trades$730 min
5/4/2026, 4:03:18 AM1 trades$710 min
5/1/2026, 11:32:50 AM1 trades$710 min
5/14/2026, 1:51:02 AM2 trades$670 min
5/13/2026, 9:42:18 PM4 trades$574 min
5/9/2026, 9:01:01 PM3 trades$500 min
5/28/2026, 3:44:23 PM2 trades$500 min
6/11/2026, 8:26:31 PM2 trades$500 min
5/7/2026, 2:42:29 AM6 trades$461 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-04
05-08
05-20
05-31
06-02
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.9 / M27.8 / H53.3