@ArmandOk

#124,30041

0xa2893588c654e10b3e6f3656e463a73d47824791

~27d· 88 markets · 390 tradesVol: $29,6962026-08-05 17:30:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (50/85)14.4/20
1.07x (win $1,221 / loss $1,141)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4588.6/15
Sortino 0.7067.1/10
$+0.0073 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 1196 (85 markets)6.5/10
6/18 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 566% of peak ($872 / $154)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+427
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#26,088$538Vol: $13,577
💰 FINANCE#625,484$-68Vol: $4,785
SPORTS#1,694,417$-114Vol: $4,462
📈 ECONOMICS#20,850$38Vol: $3,535
CRYPTO#171,506$23Vol: $2,718
🎭 CULTURE#67,475$10Vol: $620

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$427
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,696
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
304B / 86S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
50W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$427
Win Rate
59%
50W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $838 (1.9612820212890398% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$424
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$244
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$170
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$123
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-552
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-178
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?$-157
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-92
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$-42
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-25
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.035
HHI
1698
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.8%
Top-5 markets
79.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 438s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)45.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 7:45:49 AM3 trades$6814 min
6/16/2026, 4:49:29 PM2 trades$6500 min
7/4/2026, 8:18:14 AM2 trades$5980 min
6/16/2026, 12:21:27 AM3 trades$4020 min
6/16/2026, 11:47:03 AM3 trades$3900 min
6/16/2026, 7:02:55 AM6 trades$3860 min
6/17/2026, 2:56:01 PM4 trades$3827 min
6/16/2026, 12:42:36 PM2 trades$3791 min
6/16/2026, 12:27:54 AM7 trades$3423 min
6/17/2026, 8:28:47 AM6 trades$3426 min
6/16/2026, 3:32:16 PM7 trades$3287 min
6/23/2026, 3:33:01 PM8 trades$2891 min
6/23/2026, 3:44:55 PM4 trades$2840 min
6/17/2026, 9:00:53 AM1 trades$2820 min
7/19/2026, 3:44:54 PM5 trades$2760 min
6/15/2026, 9:26:13 PM10 trades$2704 min
6/16/2026, 5:45:46 PM1 trades$2600 min
6/17/2026, 11:18:38 AM2 trades$2550 min
6/18/2026, 8:59:37 PM1 trades$2520 min
6/16/2026, 11:33:13 AM2 trades$2443 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-11
06-09
06-15
06-23
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.3 / M30.6 / H45.1