@Ermelo
#3,950710xa2a020a382c90b292331ef36e62a2680e3df7e90
~32d· 76 markets · 6159 tradesVol: $7,505,6602026-08-04 13:22:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (43/73)14.5/20
1.57x (win $252,910 / loss $160,726)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.11115/15
Sortino 6.77810/10
$+0.0769 per $1 invested3.8/10
HHI 575 (73 markets)9.6/10
15/31 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($53,851 / $104,393)3.7/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+44,579
DCA Master
Avg 82.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,198,921 invested
High Roller
$26,643/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,512$44,579Vol: $7,505,660
Overview
#1Net PnL
$44,579
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,505,660
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
4678B / 1481S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$172
Vol: $36,222
All Time
$44,579
Vol: $7,505,660
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
43W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$44,579
Win Rate
59%
43W / 30L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$5,882
Avg Loss
$-5,358
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $126,295 (2.833075661348125% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$53,276
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$48,771
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$24,248
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$23,207
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$12,612
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$10,245
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?$9,761
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?$7,244
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$6,941
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 1.5$6,709
Top Losers
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$-29,504
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-24,710
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-22,220
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-16,387
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,685
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-11,258
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$-9,152
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$-6,758
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?$-6,249
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$-5,687
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.160
Sortino
0.349
HHI
606
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.079
Kelly %
6.8%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
47%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
136.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.4m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
91.0
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
55% gaps < 5s — fast executionCV 3.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule137 trades/day — automation1.7 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
82.9
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)65%
Sessions
#127/5/2026, 8:02:41 PM260 trades$124,54417 min
7/11/2026, 11:11:44 PM310 trades$103,3848 min
7/4/2026, 10:25:35 PM260 trades$86,28716 min
7/4/2026, 10:50:49 PM135 trades$82,93613 min
7/12/2026, 2:31:38 AM173 trades$74,30318 min
7/10/2026, 8:49:37 PM94 trades$70,8369 min
7/5/2026, 9:41:23 PM109 trades$68,1511 min
7/12/2026, 3:32:16 AM55 trades$58,4118 min
6/28/2026, 12:09:37 AM90 trades$51,96112 min
6/28/2026, 1:10:53 AM287 trades$51,18816 min
7/11/2026, 9:50:22 PM57 trades$39,9243 min
8/1/2026, 6:19:29 PM109 trades$35,2748 min
7/9/2026, 8:25:23 PM97 trades$33,63211 min
7/5/2026, 9:51:41 PM87 trades$32,5441 min
6/28/2026, 12:39:01 AM47 trades$30,6098 min
7/11/2026, 11:45:44 PM56 trades$26,0000 min
7/19/2026, 10:33:04 PM87 trades$25,65611 min
7/30/2026, 6:01:29 PM13 trades$25,1430 min
6/23/2026, 4:44:44 AM282 trades$23,01310 min
7/3/2026, 8:23:16 PM132 trades$22,38117 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-26
07-03
07-10
07-17
07-25
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 82.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M17.6 / H65