@neodb

#3,052,09824

0xa2a2bcab4f26e6667b82a3b7595ced64d626b04d

~60d· 251 markets · 5306 tradesVol: $5,914,4152026-08-04 19:18:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (93/251)3.5/20
1.05x (win $162,495 / loss $154,583)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2514.7/15
Sortino 0.4664.7/10
$+0.0490 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 1439 (251 markets)5.3/10
10/46 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 101% of peak ($59,134 / $58,646)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
Whale
$161,628 invested
High Roller
$1,050/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#2,875$14,114Vol: $3,675,002
📈 ECONOMICS#683,091$-21,570Vol: $1,683,708
₿ CRYPTO#17,253$2,516Vol: $472,031
💰 FINANCE#651,379$-599Vol: $44,382
⚽ SPORTS#1,846,690$-1,528Vol: $32,591
🌤️ WEATHER#271,543$-37Vol: $5,517
🎭 CULTURE#758,208$-46Vol: $1,184

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,914,415
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
251
total markets
Trades
4328B / 978S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
93W / 157L events
Realized PnL
$-7,151
Win Rate
37%
93W / 157L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$1,747
Avg Loss
$-997

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $124,525 (17.414576978962575% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$56,385
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$38,883
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$29,257
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$15,800
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$9,110
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2,818
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1,891
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1,643
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1,470
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1,080

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-27,026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-19,836
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-15,219
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$-15,000
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$-14,842
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$-10,750
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-7,430
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?$-4,950
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$-4,400
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-4,400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.013
Sortino
0.024
HHI
861
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.040
Kelly %
21.9%
Half-Kelly
11.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
54.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 7.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.97
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)3%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 4:02:49 PM26 trades$198,1610 min
4/26/2026, 3:27:14 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
4/27/2026, 8:39:16 PM15 trades$64,6790 min
2/28/2026, 7:18:01 AM1 trades$57,4380 min
4/7/2026, 10:44:31 PM11 trades$39,3472 min
4/19/2026, 11:09:52 AM23 trades$33,2780 min
5/2/2026, 6:27:34 PM27 trades$32,3014 min
2/21/2026, 2:14:46 AM3 trades$23,8342 min
5/2/2026, 7:22:44 AM31 trades$20,5870 min
6/8/2026, 11:08:31 AM11 trades$20,3310 min
6/19/2026, 12:08:32 PM26 trades$18,8922 min
6/22/2026, 12:48:28 PM13 trades$18,8065 min
4/1/2026, 2:29:55 PM18 trades$18,3760 min
2/20/2026, 9:40:20 PM170 trades$15,01616 min
2/21/2026, 5:09:18 AM318 trades$15,0001 min
4/1/2026, 3:10:39 PM10 trades$14,6440 min
4/7/2026, 4:56:27 AM8 trades$12,1640 min
6/10/2026, 8:19:24 AM3 trades$10,5470 min
6/14/2026, 5:12:10 PM10 trades$10,1800 min
4/29/2026, 5:57:02 PM13 trades$10,0522 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-09
02-23
03-02
03-26
05-28
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.5 / M18.6 / H3