@0xa2cd…2e8c

29

0xa2cdf97a42fa94ac2f19af1fe680754743ab2e8c

~56d· 533 markets · 9451 trades2026-08-05 00:11:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (235/529)7.2/20
0.95x (win $7,786 / loss $8,201)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9520/15
Sortino -1.2740/10
$-0.0074 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 323 (529 markets)10/10
16/23 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 152% of peak ($1,805 / $1,190)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Whale
$55,996 invested
Consistent
16/23 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-349
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,996
Total Redeem
$46,591
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
533
total markets
Trades
5267B / 4184S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
235W / 294L events
Realized PnL
$-349
Win Rate
44%
235W / 294L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,892 (5.424286738351254% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1,136
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$379
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$377
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$297
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$274
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$205
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$202
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$192
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$180
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$177

Top Losers

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-427
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$-403
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$-190
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET$-179
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$-161
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$-158
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-158
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$-150
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$-148
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$-135

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.041
HHI
358
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
35.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
59.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
185.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
66% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 3.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock59 trades/day — mass trading3.3 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)40.6%
High (>55c)39.4%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 6:00:16 PM2828 trades$22,814187 min
6/18/2026, 6:10:22 PM2638 trades$19,616152 min
6/16/2026, 8:00:22 PM1519 trades$10,401105 min
6/17/2026, 10:31:10 PM1167 trades$10,320102 min
6/17/2026, 9:15:53 PM659 trades$6,32252 min
4/24/2026, 3:48:16 PM4 trades$2,6644 min
5/6/2026, 5:47:12 AM2 trades$2,0070 min
5/16/2026, 7:48:32 PM19 trades$1,5682 min
6/2/2026, 3:06:47 AM8 trades$1,3100 min
5/4/2026, 6:16:54 PM2 trades$1,1820 min
6/17/2026, 6:49:40 AM8 trades$1,1210 min
5/20/2026, 9:03:39 PM4 trades$1,1200 min
6/11/2026, 10:59:24 PM141 trades$89314 min
4/17/2026, 2:18:40 PM4 trades$8545 min
4/24/2026, 12:38:56 AM2 trades$8190 min
6/17/2026, 12:29:37 AM2 trades$7900 min
6/17/2026, 5:30:47 PM123 trades$7029 min
5/13/2026, 12:58:52 PM4 trades$6652 min
5/21/2026, 6:06:09 AM5 trades$6510 min
4/18/2026, 5:45:58 PM4 trades$6490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-05
03-12
04-11
05-16
05-24
06-16
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.94/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M40.6 / H39.4