@rasty024

#2,055,4569

0xa2dff2a5d330a1c91bdcc835dfe05bed36b097c4

~10d· 31 markets · 70 tradesVol: $6412026-08-04 21:04:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (10/25)5/20
0.81x (win $38 / loss $47)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2900/15
Sortino -5.6130/10
$-0.0635 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2393 (25 markets)0.5/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 394% of peak ($12 / $3)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,238,498$-8Vol: $355
₿ CRYPTO#1,098,328$-7Vol: $198
🌤️ WEATHER#206,940$-2Vol: $40
⚽ SPORTS#1,296,681$-8Vol: $32
🎭 CULTURE#81,734$7Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$641
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
44B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-19
Vol: $641

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
10W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-19
Win Rate
40%
10W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24 (1.24181626187962% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7PM ET$11
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$7
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$6
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$4
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$3
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$3
Will António José Seguro win the first round?$2
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$2
ICE shooter charged by March 31?$1
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-10
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$-5
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-5
Seahawks vs. Patriots$-4
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$-4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-4
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$-2
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-2
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.212
Sortino
-0.768
HHI
1102
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.8%
Top-5 markets
49%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)34.1%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 11:03:38 PM10 trades$881 min
6/23/2026, 11:30:13 PM15 trades$6210 min
6/23/2026, 11:45:44 PM4 trades$290 min
6/23/2026, 11:12:01 PM4 trades$234 min
1/10/2026, 11:46:26 PM4 trades$147 min
1/9/2026, 3:46:20 AM1 trades$100 min
1/10/2026, 5:34:34 PM1 trades$100 min
6/27/2026, 11:34:38 PM4 trades$81 min
1/14/2026, 7:45:58 AM4 trades$73 min
1/14/2026, 2:47:42 PM3 trades$72 min
6/24/2026, 11:32:19 PM2 trades$50 min
1/10/2026, 10:50:12 PM1 trades$50 min
2/4/2026, 7:40:24 AM2 trades$52 min
1/9/2026, 3:03:50 AM2 trades$42 min
6/24/2026, 11:39:56 PM4 trades$41 min
6/26/2026, 10:25:01 PM2 trades$30 min
1/11/2026, 2:02:56 AM2 trades$31 min
1/14/2026, 3:10:30 PM1 trades$20 min
1/11/2026, 10:13:24 PM1 trades$20 min
1/9/2026, 4:03:38 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
01-10
01-11
01-14
02-04
06-23
06-24
06-26
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 164 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.5 / M34.1 / H45.5