XMEN003

@XMEN003

#2,504,29610

0xa3461d6d7ac61a87bf8f43e7a6b7fea95b1daf38

~24d· 44 markets · 137 tradesVol: $4,7662026-08-04 23:19:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (6/36)0/20
0.19x (win $110 / loss $587)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3780/15
Sortino -7.7870/10
$-0.7949 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 549 (36 markets)9.8/10
5/20 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 7128% of peak ($532 / $7)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#146,743$15Vol: $1,535
⚽ SPORTS#1,666,373$-93Vol: $1,476
💰 FINANCE#26,756$47Vol: $981
₿ CRYPTO#1,397,005$-53Vol: $492
📈 ECONOMICS#562,725$-4Vol: $282

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-87
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,766
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
60B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$31
Vol: $0
Week
$31
Vol: $1,486
Month
$33
Vol: $1,486
All Time
$-87
Vol: $4,766

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
6W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-87
Win Rate
17%
6W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74 (0.8438929551692589% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $140 in July?$27
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in August?$25
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June?$22
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$9
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?$7

Top Losers

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$-104
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?$-51
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-40
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$-40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?$-40
Will Solana reach $110 in May?$-37
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$-30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?$-23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.427
Sortino
-0.405
HHI
408
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.832
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
31.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 369s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.3%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 6:50:23 AM11 trades$3553 min
6/20/2026, 9:35:40 AM8 trades$1951 min
5/3/2026, 3:21:38 PM3 trades$1430 min
6/20/2026, 8:16:38 AM2 trades$1330 min
6/20/2026, 7:36:13 AM2 trades$1300 min
6/20/2026, 8:10:20 AM2 trades$1250 min
6/23/2026, 9:55:41 PM2 trades$1250 min
5/15/2026, 1:45:24 PM6 trades$960 min
5/26/2026, 9:19:00 AM2 trades$910 min
5/10/2026, 4:41:41 PM4 trades$875 min
6/23/2026, 8:44:28 PM4 trades$804 min
7/5/2026, 7:44:19 PM4 trades$692 min
6/15/2026, 10:10:07 AM6 trades$671 min
5/10/2026, 4:32:37 PM4 trades$633 min
6/20/2026, 7:28:07 PM6 trades$630 min
6/21/2026, 3:59:44 PM2 trades$630 min
6/20/2026, 1:33:25 PM6 trades$560 min
4/24/2026, 10:52:32 AM9 trades$530 min
4/2/2026, 2:58:47 PM2 trades$520 min
7/30/2026, 7:06:11 AM11 trades$505 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-23
04-28
05-15
06-09
06-21
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 134 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.3 / M30 / H26.7