@bruceaba

#2,953,76828

0xa3fae5cd72f826c2547d0a02d634299dfda2cdb2

~135d· 575 markets · 1848 tradesVol: $100,567 @AshtonLanceSta22026-08-04 23:19:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (313/574)12.3/20
0.78x (win $13,015 / loss $16,686)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8670/15
Sortino -2.1940/10
$-0.1054 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 75 (574 markets)10/10
70/131 profitable days (53%)5.9/10
Max DD 297% of peak ($5,758 / $1,940)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,808,827$-647Vol: $53,901
🌤️ WEATHER#294,306$-375Vol: $26,786
CRYPTO#1,531,067$-191Vol: $17,221
🏛️ POLITICS#1,380,832$-20Vol: $1,023
📈 ECONOMICS#644,322$-41Vol: $450
🎭 CULTURE#632,774$-4Vol: $113

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$100,567
Total Redeem
$2,333
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
575
total markets
Trades
1201B / 647S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
313W / 261L events
Realized PnL
$-1,266
Win Rate
55%
313W / 261L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-67

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,479 (1.9586464086215205% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-22?$1,040
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?$1,025
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?$414
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?$344
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$326
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes$315
Raptors vs. Pistons$280
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?$273
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5$270
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?$246

Top Losers

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$-1,380
Will Greece win on 2026-03-31?$-1,015
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)$-731
Pacers vs. Bulls$-636
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score$-570
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?$-539
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5$-520
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?$-497
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?$-416
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers$-402

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.097
Sortino
-0.091
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.105
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
13.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 228s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)36.3%
High (>55c)47.3%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 8:30:41 AM17 trades$1,9972 min
3/22/2026, 6:27:49 PM1 trades$1,5840 min
3/26/2026, 6:35:35 AM1 trades$1,0270 min
3/29/2026, 8:39:02 AM1 trades$9270 min
3/31/2026, 5:34:53 AM6 trades$9171 min
5/1/2026, 11:50:36 AM5 trades$9002 min
5/23/2026, 8:07:33 PM24 trades$82613 min
4/2/2026, 1:23:07 AM4 trades$7783 min
3/27/2026, 5:35:37 AM4 trades$6750 min
3/31/2026, 7:08:37 PM7 trades$6502 min
4/12/2026, 1:23:37 PM19 trades$6316 min
4/21/2026, 9:52:20 AM3 trades$5800 min
4/29/2026, 1:43:26 PM8 trades$5760 min
3/28/2026, 9:48:40 PM46 trades$57320 min
4/13/2026, 6:53:37 AM2 trades$5500 min
3/22/2026, 5:45:45 AM3 trades$5442 min
4/3/2026, 4:58:55 AM5 trades$5330 min
5/23/2026, 8:20:02 AM5 trades$4501 min
5/23/2026, 3:36:16 PM6 trades$4301 min
3/18/2026, 10:24:17 PM5 trades$4083 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
02-04
03-04
03-25
04-26
05-23
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 121 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.4 / M36.3 / H47.3