tehkai

@tehkai

#2,713,98940

0xa42940d612c9b2e02d3cd35a4c3f17062782368a

~127d· 403 markets · 10730 tradesVol: $1,787,1512026-08-05 17:30:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (287/349)20/20
0.56x (win $241,441 / loss $433,382)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6000/15
Sortino -1.6570/10
$-0.1809 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 275 (349 markets)10/10
64/84 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 337% of peak ($365,568 / $108,421)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Diamond Hands
0% sells
DCA Master
Avg 44.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,061,021 invested
Consistent
64/84 profitable days
High Roller
$3,901/day
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,634$-3,374Vol: $1,380,774
📈 ECONOMICS#2,789$1,170Vol: $182,783
CRYPTO#16,700$2,622Vol: $85,457
SPORTS#67,914$340Vol: $82,918
🎭 CULTURE#20,071$108Vol: $29,090
🌤️ WEATHER#296,643$-685Vol: $14,071
💰 FINANCE#40,967$19Vol: $1,214
💻 TECH#27,342$4Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,787,151
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
403
total markets
Trades
10685B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$71
Vol: $7,320
Week
$338
Vol: $27,622
Month
$876
Vol: $48,160
All Time
$-203
Vol: $1,787,151

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
287W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$-203
Win Rate
82%
287W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$841
Avg Loss
$-6,990

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79,810 (393.28689695954273% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30,803
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$28,120
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$20,887
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$10,756
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$10,505
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8,674
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$8,430
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,575
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$7,542
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$6,169

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-123,957
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-75,874
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-35,515
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-18,962
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$-13,758
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-13,305
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-12,978
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-12,667
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-11,433
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-10,713

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
587
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.124
Kelly %
15.2%
Half-Kelly
7.6%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
44.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.2m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
25 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 163s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
44.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.6%
High (>55c)91.6%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 5:27:34 PM312 trades$36,88999 min
6/12/2026, 1:31:19 PM79 trades$12,12737 min
6/11/2026, 9:22:36 PM51 trades$10,22253 min
6/14/2026, 10:56:27 PM54 trades$7,56437 min
6/21/2026, 9:16:32 PM38 trades$6,79223 min
11/7/2025, 4:58:17 PM55 trades$6,71634 min
5/16/2026, 10:04:36 PM140 trades$5,93438 min
6/12/2026, 2:14:13 PM28 trades$5,42739 min
6/14/2026, 10:28:22 PM29 trades$5,35922 min
6/14/2026, 9:30:54 PM31 trades$5,31618 min
6/12/2026, 10:12:42 AM30 trades$5,05325 min
6/8/2026, 8:47:36 PM16 trades$4,67811 min
2/2/2026, 12:15:34 AM52 trades$4,08541 min
6/19/2026, 7:05:58 PM37 trades$3,99113 min
5/1/2026, 12:22:14 PM13 trades$3,93011 min
5/20/2026, 2:38:30 PM27 trades$3,66914 min
6/8/2026, 10:35:04 PM34 trades$3,47627 min
6/11/2026, 7:24:00 PM17 trades$3,38410 min
5/7/2026, 7:38:10 PM57 trades$3,38452 min
6/11/2026, 11:00:45 AM38 trades$3,31250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-07
02-04
05-05
05-21
06-10
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M6.6 / H91.6