@cryptonepal

#140,49662

0xa4f011266d7e9b2a0ec20b01f210be39f76b380f

~116d· 99 markets · 463 tradesVol: $34,725 @Rijan394131652026-08-04 23:53:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (24/73)1.4/20
1.82x (win $1,050 / loss $576)12.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.01915/15
Sortino 6.25510/10
$+0.1322 per $1 invested6.6/10
HHI 541 (73 markets)9.8/10
15/48 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($289 / $684)5.5/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+324
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#134,945$44Vol: $27,132
🏛️ POLITICS#40,954$236Vol: $4,770
💰 FINANCE#25,341$53Vol: $2,216
📈 ECONOMICS#510,971$-2Vol: $388
🌤️ WEATHER#181,602$-1Vol: $131
SPORTS#909,479$-1Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$324
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,725
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
256B / 207S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$9
Vol: $84
All Time
$324
Vol: $34,725

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
24W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$324
Win Rate
33%
24W / 49L
Profit Factor
1.82x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $414 (1.2780966487687466% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$203
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$108
Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?$103
Solana above $170 on November 8?$92
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$80
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?$74
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$67
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$64
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$56
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?$48

Top Losers

Dogecoin all time high before 2026?$-182
Ethereum all time high by June 30?$-54
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-50
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?$-40
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?$-30
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win less than 20 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?$-25
Will Nepali Communist Party win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$-24
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?$-20
Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$-18
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.156
Sortino
0.289
HHI
379
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
36.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1454s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.5%
Mid (20-55c)23.8%
High (>55c)15.6%

Sessions

#12
11/8/2024, 5:22:19 PM3 trades$7424 min
5/17/2026, 9:15:03 AM4 trades$5830 min
5/12/2026, 2:07:53 AM2 trades$4870 min
5/7/2026, 9:28:42 AM2 trades$3920 min
5/9/2026, 1:57:53 AM18 trades$3724 min
11/6/2024, 10:29:33 PM2 trades$3471 min
5/22/2026, 1:06:36 PM13 trades$3462 min
11/7/2024, 4:10:53 AM1 trades$3400 min
11/7/2024, 4:37:03 AM2 trades$3402 min
11/12/2024, 1:23:01 AM2 trades$2500 min
12/8/2024, 9:11:37 AM1 trades$2250 min
11/12/2024, 7:31:45 AM1 trades$2000 min
11/13/2024, 6:41:47 AM1 trades$1940 min
6/6/2026, 7:43:49 AM13 trades$1819 min
11/5/2024, 3:17:47 AM2 trades$1692 min
11/6/2024, 4:21:41 AM1 trades$1660 min
11/10/2024, 5:59:07 AM1 trades$1480 min
11/30/2024, 9:04:55 AM1 trades$1400 min
11/12/2024, 12:25:19 AM1 trades$1350 min
5/10/2026, 1:40:54 AM6 trades$1280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-19
11-08
03-17
09-23
02-24
03-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 449 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.5 / M23.8 / H15.6