@0xa4f5…38d7

#2,954,61748

0xa4f56431cbd0be9c0da67254044a8437b06038d7

~7d· 24 markets · 766 tradesVol: $25,3162026-08-04 22:44:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (5/24)0/20
1.19x (win $3,235 / loss $2,709)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08915/15
Sortino 3.24510/10
$+0.0765 per $1 invested3.8/10
HHI 966 (24 markets)7.7/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($1,165 / $1,405)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#298,155$-1,278Vol: $25,316

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,278
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,316
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
141B / 625S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
5W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-1,278
Win Rate
21%
5W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$647
Avg Loss
$-143

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,757 (2.1582531643587917% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?$1,249
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$761
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$747
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$328
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?$150

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$-664
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?$-611
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?$-225
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 20?$-224
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$-206
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?$-187
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$-161
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$-138
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?$-53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.101
Sortino
0.120
HHI
1509
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.5%
Top-5 markets
76%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
109.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule109 trades/day — automation3.4 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.8%
Mid (20-55c)16.3%
High (>55c)48.9%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 5:07:04 AM80 trades$3,46023 min
6/19/2026, 5:12:52 AM132 trades$3,29320 min
6/17/2026, 1:06:41 PM32 trades$1,2806 min
6/19/2026, 1:47:29 PM8 trades$7630 min
6/21/2026, 7:46:29 AM18 trades$7067 min
6/19/2026, 8:25:44 AM29 trades$7032 min
6/19/2026, 10:24:38 AM31 trades$6503 min
6/19/2026, 7:43:26 AM33 trades$6417 min
6/19/2026, 3:11:56 PM37 trades$6035 min
6/19/2026, 8:37:29 AM23 trades$4801 min
6/16/2026, 7:28:43 AM22 trades$3946 min
6/19/2026, 7:31:13 AM19 trades$3831 min
6/17/2026, 5:36:59 AM21 trades$3561 min
6/19/2026, 1:30:31 PM15 trades$3270 min
6/17/2026, 2:30:10 PM9 trades$3220 min
6/19/2026, 4:45:59 PM20 trades$3141 min
6/19/2026, 7:17:37 AM12 trades$2911 min
6/17/2026, 12:39:19 PM17 trades$2611 min
6/18/2026, 1:15:13 PM7 trades$2570 min
6/17/2026, 1:32:14 PM20 trades$2496 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
81.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.8 / M16.3 / H48.9