@hughc

#2,115,82619

0xa51ec5bd1779e786e9125a4e3703d057a89f6ec9

~12d· 10 markets · 28 tradesVol: $5,3452026-08-04 23:12:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (4/8)10/20
0.94x (win $42 / loss $44)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4480/15
Sortino -0.6090/10
$-0.0012 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2113 (8 markets)1.9/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($31 / $28)0/10

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#19,545$87Vol: $2,659
⚽ SPORTS#1,717,497$-150Vol: $1,500
🏛️ POLITICS#126,672$23Vol: $762
📈 ECONOMICS#30,817$18Vol: $425

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,345
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
16B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
4W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-22
Win Rate
50%
4W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41 (1.8650472334682862% of PnL)

Top Winners

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$18
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$17
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355–370 in 2025?$7
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?$0

Top Losers

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$-25
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$-8
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$-5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
494
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
47.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 150s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)93.8%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 9:40:44 PM9 trades$6931 min
1/23/2026, 8:50:38 PM2 trades$4191 min
2/28/2026, 8:13:03 PM1 trades$2480 min
1/31/2026, 12:13:44 AM1 trades$2270 min
2/28/2026, 8:54:21 PM1 trades$2230 min
3/1/2026, 9:33:53 PM1 trades$2230 min
3/2/2026, 2:47:01 PM1 trades$2180 min
1/6/2026, 4:52:11 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/10/2026, 5:39:22 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/25/2025, 7:50:05 PM4 trades$1794 min
1/7/2026, 11:43:09 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/26/2025, 5:42:47 PM1 trades$810 min
1/6/2026, 2:10:01 PM1 trades$500 min
1/10/2026, 5:32:08 PM1 trades$100 min
12/6/2025, 5:23:57 PM1 trades$80 min
11/26/2025, 10:19:05 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-06
12-25
01-10
01-23
01-31
02-28
03-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M0 / H93.8