@ObscuraNull

#2,252,47956

0xa53d323139566d992c4613b8225670365f864952

~36d· 148 markets · 300 tradesVol: $14,6552026-08-04 19:59:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (51/90)13.3/20
1.10x (win $162 / loss $147)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.75914.2/15
Sortino 1.04210/10
$+0.0137 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 585 (90 markets)9.6/10
12/25 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 571% of peak ($84 / $15)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,382,129$-21Vol: $12,318
CRYPTO#1,303,785$-26Vol: $1,279
📈 ECONOMICS#77,448$3Vol: $493
🎭 CULTURE#204,318$0Vol: $292
💰 FINANCE#57,458$9Vol: $139
🌤️ WEATHER#200,241$-1Vol: $115
SPORTS#422,345$1Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,655
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
191B / 109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$-35
Vol: $14,655

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
51W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-35
Win Rate
57%
51W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (1.9724275156338829% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$29
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$18
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$15
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$12
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12
AWS service disrupted by March 31?$12
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?$7
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$6
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$4

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1PM ET$-21
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-20
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-20
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$-19
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-10
Another US bank failure by March 31?$-5
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?$-5
Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?$-5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-4
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.044
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.4%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 12:28:41 PM16 trades$2645 min
6/28/2026, 10:01:10 AM15 trades$2342 min
3/4/2026, 7:13:43 PM14 trades$1407 min
6/20/2026, 12:37:58 PM16 trades$1025 min
2/13/2026, 5:15:05 AM5 trades$1002 min
1/24/2026, 6:42:20 PM4 trades$808 min
5/10/2026, 7:00:57 AM7 trades$492 min
4/15/2026, 3:31:34 AM2 trades$480 min
7/10/2026, 4:56:04 PM19 trades$482 min
4/15/2026, 5:33:28 PM7 trades$462 min
7/10/2026, 5:06:01 PM7 trades$423 min
5/9/2026, 3:38:56 PM2 trades$410 min
2/16/2026, 6:05:15 PM6 trades$353 min
3/1/2026, 7:21:29 AM1 trades$330 min
4/16/2026, 7:49:08 AM4 trades$290 min
3/18/2026, 8:55:01 PM3 trades$286 min
1/25/2026, 4:10:42 AM7 trades$285 min
1/25/2026, 11:34:50 AM22 trades$2212 min
2/1/2026, 6:54:12 AM4 trades$201 min
3/23/2026, 11:55:45 AM2 trades$201 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
01-28
02-02
02-07
02-19
03-25
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.9 / M30.4 / H38.7