KetchupChips

@KetchupChips

#2,956,38321

0xa58cbdc9fb1785e27bbfc317370419c0e378a1e2

~147d· 210 markets · 1024 tradesVol: $92,2732026-08-06 15:54:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (89/201)7.1/20
0.55x (win $3,016 / loss $5,466)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8920/15
Sortino -3.3210/10
$-0.1584 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 453 (201 markets)10/10
39/86 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,450 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,778,874$-353Vol: $49,470
🏛️ POLITICS#1,616,505$-1,052Vol: $11,459
💰 FINANCE#13,784$170Vol: $10,241
CRYPTO#1,136,975$-9Vol: $9,227
📈 ECONOMICS#9,944$148Vol: $8,074
📢 MENTIONS#157,653$-54Vol: $1,678
🎭 CULTURE#787,594$-127Vol: $1,530
💻 TECH#15,059$15Vol: $104
🌤️ WEATHER#235,959$-7Vol: $84

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,273
Total Redeem
$200
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
210
total markets
Trades
767B / 257S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $35
All Time
$-1,266
Vol: $92,273

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
89W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$-1,266
Win Rate
44%
89W / 112L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,750 (1.382407999810431% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$762
Bills vs. Jaguars$546
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$442
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?$145
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?$106
Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.40% (HIGH) in April?$92
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$87
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$87
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$52

Top Losers

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-931
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-832
Bills vs. Broncos$-498
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?$-483
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$-443
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-317
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?$-208
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$-154
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$-141
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
350
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.174
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
35.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 582s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.3%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)30.9%

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 2:57:16 PM1 trades$1,1990 min
1/14/2026, 12:47:00 AM3 trades$1,0052 min
1/19/2026, 12:12:04 AM2 trades$8054 min
6/4/2026, 1:40:31 AM5 trades$5950 min
1/16/2026, 2:06:26 AM1 trades$5580 min
1/14/2026, 2:00:30 AM16 trades$5172 min
1/13/2026, 11:26:58 PM1 trades$5060 min
1/17/2026, 5:33:30 PM1 trades$4980 min
1/18/2026, 1:34:30 PM4 trades$4925 min
1/11/2026, 5:44:14 AM1 trades$4850 min
1/10/2026, 7:51:18 PM3 trades$4484 min
6/2/2026, 10:46:57 PM2 trades$4170 min
7/30/2026, 12:29:57 AM8 trades$4140 min
1/18/2026, 1:07:36 PM3 trades$3815 min
4/10/2025, 11:00:48 PM1 trades$3520 min
4/2/2025, 4:07:08 PM1 trades$3430 min
5/29/2026, 4:53:58 PM3 trades$3250 min
1/16/2026, 12:22:42 AM2 trades$3241 min
1/11/2026, 7:39:56 PM1 trades$3210 min
1/18/2026, 1:49:38 PM4 trades$3061 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
10-30
01-01
03-08
04-05
05-11
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.3 / M28.8 / H30.9