@nicholaohnston

#73,30082

0xa59372b9714c194322552ce34960f0cf2d7d4ac5

~27d· 19 markets · 44 tradesVol: $11,3892026-08-05 00:14:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (11/15)20/20
1.58x (win $3,265 / loss $2,061)9.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.40815/15
Sortino 5.71110/10
$+0.1845 per $1 invested9.2/10
HHI 939 (15 markets)7.8/10
10/14 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 103% of peak ($1,701 / $1,659)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+1,196
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Consistent
10/14 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#33,749$1,193Vol: $10,737
🏛️ POLITICS#310,204$1Vol: $346
🌤️ WEATHER#113,824$0Vol: $102
📈 ECONOMICS#121,583$1Vol: $102

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,196
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,389
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
44B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,196
Vol: $11,389

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
11W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$1,196
Win Rate
73%
11W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$297
Avg Loss
$-515

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,166 (1.811296609177136% of PnL)

Top Winners

Athletics vs. Dodgers$1,106
Reds vs. Pirates$553
Dodgers vs. Guardians$507
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals$440
Athletics vs. Blue Jays$399
Rockies vs. Cubs$250
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$3
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$2
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$2

Top Losers

Orioles vs. Brewers$-770
Braves vs. Nationals$-504
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giants$-427
Giants vs. Tigers$-360

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.172
Sortino
0.478
HHI
840
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.195
Kelly %
39.8%
Half-Kelly
19.9%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
54.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.4h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13748s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)88.6%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2025, 11:22:27 AM1 trades$7930 min
5/21/2025, 3:08:45 AM2 trades$7700 min
5/27/2025, 11:31:48 AM1 trades$7500 min
5/19/2025, 5:07:53 AM2 trades$6760 min
5/29/2025, 7:39:41 AM2 trades$5510 min
5/13/2025, 10:43:04 AM2 trades$5450 min
5/20/2025, 4:54:51 AM1 trades$5040 min
5/22/2025, 2:31:39 AM1 trades$4270 min
5/23/2025, 3:29:45 AM2 trades$3600 min
5/28/2025, 11:49:06 AM1 trades$3600 min
7/6/2026, 5:12:49 AM1 trades$980 min
5/20/2026, 9:19:30 AM1 trades$500 min
5/20/2026, 8:19:57 PM1 trades$500 min
5/29/2026, 5:40:43 PM1 trades$500 min
5/21/2026, 6:32:41 AM1 trades$500 min
5/15/2026, 1:11:49 AM1 trades$500 min
6/24/2026, 5:47:02 PM4 trades$500 min
5/30/2026, 6:20:35 PM1 trades$490 min
5/28/2026, 1:34:38 PM1 trades$430 min
6/2/2026, 6:33:16 PM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
05-20
05-22
05-26
05-28
05-08
05-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M11.4 / H88.6